Dekker_Tifosi said:
In a way Nibali has been unlucky with Dumo falling away, as the latter one would have never given Carapaz 4 minutes. And that means Nibali would now be in pink or very close to.
Anyway, with his usual 3rd week and seemingly best form since 2014 I still think he has a huge shot. But a lot will depend now on Carapaz form. If the latter keeps it then it's not going to be possible. Nibali will keep him under pressure regardless but needs a bad day
But then Dumoulin would be in pink, maybe. Anyway it's a pure speculation, it is what it is, lucky or unlucky he's almost 2 min behind and must find a way to chip at least a minute, if not even more from Carapaz. He'll attack, that's sure, and he's probably stronger than him, but bad news is that Landa seems to be if not the strongest, then at least on par with Nibali uphill. He will drag Carapaz all the way, so I don't know will Nibali be able to gain something from them. As a team, Movistar also looks the strongest, although Bahrein isn't bad either. Maybe descends are his best opportunity.