Vuelta a España Vuelta a España 2021: Stage 1 (Burgos - Burgos, 7.1 km / Prologue)

[sir fly]

What is their estimate?

8 minutes

 

[solo80k]

Random Ukrainian Rebel will grab KOM jersey, Roglic in red, Bernal and Carapaz losing about 15 seconds.

 

[Samu Cuenca]

8 minutes

I doubt they can do it in 8 if it's a bit technical. Maybe 4-4:30 for the climb, 4:30-5 for the rest could be realistic.

 

[Red Rick]

Upon further inspection it might be closer to 10 minutes actually.

I'll take the under 9

 

[Samu Cuenca]

I'll take the under 9

You're probably right.

 

[sir fly]

I doubt they can do it in 8 if it's a bit technical. Maybe 4-4:30 for the climb, 4:30-5 for the rest could be realistic.

8 requires the Kamikaze approach, imo. Doubt anyone will take a risk.
From the top to the finish I'd agree with the lower margin of your estimate.
To the top... although it's a fast gradient, depends on how quickly they get into the rhythm... the lower margin again, I'd say.

 

[Koronin]

I'll go with around 9 for the winner and likely some riders over 10 because it's not worth the energy for them to do more than ensure they don't get cut due to missing the required time.

 

[gregrowlerson]

My high odds predictions for stage 1: Omar Fraile and Gino Mader (Astana or Bahrain special).

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.

 

[joe_papp]

My high odds predictions for stage 1: Omar Fraile and Gino Mader (Astana or Bahrain special)...

Just put $0.11 on Fraile to win at +10000!

Couldn't find any action on Mader tho

 

[gregrowlerson]

Just put $0.11 on Fraile to win at +10000!

Couldn't find any action on Mader tho

The Mona Lisa is beyond price.

The Gino Mader to win this stage is beyond odds

 

[gregrowlerson]

Just put $0.11 on Fraile to win at +10000!

Couldn't find any action on Mader tho

By the way, what bookmaker is offering you odds of 10,000-1?

Asking for a friend.

 

[joe_papp]

By the way, what bookmaker is offering you odds of 10,000-1?

Asking for a friend.

lol. I live in Pennsylvania, one of the few US states where online sports betting is legal, and I primarily use Fan Duel.

(Also, just to clarify for anyone who isn't a bettor, +10000 is American/moneyline* odds.

*Odds expression indicating return relative to 100 unit base figure. With money odds, whenever there is a minus (-) you lay that amount to win a hundred dollars, where there is a plus (+) you win that amount for every hundred dollars you bet.)

 

[Koronin]

lol. I live in Pennsylvania, one of the few US states where online sports betting is legal, and I primarily use Fan Duel.

(Also, just to clarify for anyone who isn't a bettor, +10000 is American/moneyline* odds.

*Odds expression indicating return relative to 100 unit base figure. With money odds, whenever there is a minus (-) you lay that amount to win a hundred dollars, where there is a plus (+) you win that amount for every hundred dollars you bet.)

I'm more surprised to learn Fan Dual has cycling betting on it.

Where I live technically office pools for the NCAA Tournament is illegal.

 

[joe_papp]

I'm more surprised to learn Fan Dual has cycling betting on it [...]

Right? And Fan Duel is offering way more action than Fox Bet (another sports book I sometimes use) on Vuelta stage 1, which surprised me, since Fox Bet offered way more cycling betting during the Tour and the Olympics.

 

[RedheadDane]

lol. I live in Pennsylvania, one of the few US states where online sports betting is legal, and I primarily use Fan Duel.

(Also, just to clarify for anyone who isn't a bettor, +10000 is American/moneyline* odds.

*Odds expression indicating return relative to 100 unit base figure. With money odds, whenever there is a minus (-) you lay that amount to win a hundred dollars, where there is a plus (+) you win that amount for every hundred dollars you bet.)

Wait... the odds for Roglic are so low, they're in minus? So, if he wins, you have to pay them even more?

Nevermind...

 

[Koronin]

Right? And Fan Duel is offering way more action than Fox Bet (another sports book I sometimes use) on Vuelta stage 1, which surprised me, since Fox Bet offered way more cycling better during the Tour and the Olympics.

That's crazy. Although a road trip to Vegas to see if the Casinos do cycling in their sports betting would be fun.

 

[gregrowlerson]

lol. I live in Pennsylvania, one of the few US states where online sports betting is legal, and I primarily use Fan Duel.

(Also, just to clarify for anyone who isn't a bettor, +10000 is American/moneyline* odds.

*Odds expression indicating return relative to 100 unit base figure. With money odds, whenever there is a minus (-) you lay that amount to win a hundred dollars, where there is a plus (+) you win that amount for every hundred dollars you bet.)

Okay, so 100-1 odds then (if I understand correctly) not so great lol

 

[SHAD0W93]

Roglstomp

 

[movingtarget]

Padun winning by 1min30.

I would have thought more like one minute 15............

 

[johnymax]

The Roglstomp is so strong with this one

 

[Aimar16]

What a strange bookie that offers no odds of Cort winning

 

[Red Rick]

So do I have it right that the first peak before the 2km mark is right around the finish of the hill top finish in Burgos?

 

[Samu Cuenca]

So do I have it right that the first peak before the 2km mark is right around the finish of the hill top finish in Burgos?

Yes, it's where they turn right at the Castillo.

 

[Red Rick]

Yes, it's where they turn right at the Castillo.

Not gonna lie that looks super hard for a prologue. Roglic might take more than 20s already.

 

[KZD]

Roglić should be the strongest but I don't think thst he will take any risks. Matthews could be a good bet possibly even Pidcock