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Who will win the Giro 100?

Page 4 - Get up to date with the latest news, scores & standings from the Cycling News Community.

Who will win the Giro?

  • Nairo Quintana

    Votes: 60 52.2%
  • Vincenzo Nibali

    Votes: 17 14.8%
  • Steven Kruijswijk

    Votes: 8 7.0%
  • Geraint Thomas

    Votes: 3 2.6%
  • Tom Dumoulin

    Votes: 2 1.7%
  • Thibaut Pinot

    Votes: 10 8.7%
  • Mikel Landa

    Votes: 4 3.5%
  • Adam Yates

    Votes: 5 4.3%
  • Ilnur Zakarin

    Votes: 1 0.9%
  • Other

    Votes: 5 4.3%

  • Total voters
    115
  • Poll closed .
Oliwright said:
I'm backing Adam Yates!

He's improved hugely each of the last few years as a professional and if he improves again I believe he can do it.

He's a brit and has shown that the cold wet weather suits him.
He was almost as good as Quintana at last years tour (which was their main objective of the season).
His Orica team is weak but I seem him taking the race in the final week when it's mano a mano.

I think he has a much better chance than Pinot, Thomas or Landa.
Adam has shown that he always exceeds expectation.
Not many expect him to win the race!
I see him as almost a lock for a top 10, with a good shot at top 5 but I don't see any scenario where he could win. He's not the best climber, he's not the best tter (among GC guys), and he's not top 3 in both. I guess the way he could do it would be what you mentioned - he shows significant improvement and he starts dropping Nairo, NIbali, Pinot, etc...in the mountains. Possible, I guess, but very unlikely.
 
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portugal11 said:
SK said in a interview that in 2016 giro he was only 5 watts better than 2015 giro. The field was really bad last year, contador or landa would have demolish all of them with 2015 shape

He said that where exactly?
 
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Pantani_lives said:
Have Landa and Thomas said anything about who's supposed to be the leader? Usually Sky has one leader, and Landa seems more likely to me.

Landa better make sure he's well ahead of Thomas after Blockhaus, or he will need to babysit him through the mountains in the 3rd week
 
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Mr.White said:
Pantani_lives said:
Have Landa and Thomas said anything about who's supposed to be the leader? Usually Sky has one leader, and Landa seems more likely to me.

Landa better make sure he's well ahead of Thomas after Blockhaus, or he will need to babysit him through the mountains in the 3rd week
Since there is only the etna stage which is pretty much perfect for G beforehand (long gradual gradients), and the Blockhaus stage is _____/ , i don't see how Landa has much of a lead if anything after the stage 10 TT on G. I hope he does though, because it will mean he will have went mental, and probably have blown the race up.
 
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Mr.White said:
Pantani_lives said:
Have Landa and Thomas said anything about who's supposed to be the leader? Usually Sky has one leader, and Landa seems more likely to me.

Landa better make sure he's well ahead of Thomas after Blockhaus, or he will need to babysit him through the mountains in the 3rd week
He will, Thomas was in very good shape in Catalunya, but cracked on the steep MTF. Blockhaus is quite a bit harder, Etna he can definitely handle especially if they ride conservatively. I expect Landa to e 30-60 secs ahead after the vino-TT
 
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Singer01 said:
Mr.White said:
Pantani_lives said:
Have Landa and Thomas said anything about who's supposed to be the leader? Usually Sky has one leader, and Landa seems more likely to me.

Landa better make sure he's well ahead of Thomas after Blockhaus, or he will need to babysit him through the mountains in the 3rd week
Since there is only the etna stage which is pretty much perfect for G beforehand (long gradual gradients), and the Blockhaus stage is _____/ , i don't see how Landa has much of a lead if anything after the stage 10 TT on G. I hope he does though, because it will mean he will have went mental, and probably have blown the race up.
The Catalunya stage where G cracked was also a Unipublic design, Blockhaus stage is actually considerably harder before the MTF (if you only count the last 10 as the MTF). Will at least lose 2 minutes
 
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Valv.Piti said:
Singer01 said:
Mr.White said:
Pantani_lives said:
Have Landa and Thomas said anything about who's supposed to be the leader? Usually Sky has one leader, and Landa seems more likely to me.

Landa better make sure he's well ahead of Thomas after Blockhaus, or he will need to babysit him through the mountains in the 3rd week
Since there is only the etna stage which is pretty much perfect for G beforehand (long gradual gradients), and the Blockhaus stage is _____/ , i don't see how Landa has much of a lead if anything after the stage 10 TT on G. I hope he does though, because it will mean he will have went mental, and probably have blown the race up.
The Catalunya stage where G cracked was also a Unipublic design, Blockhaus stage is actually considerably harder before the MTF (if you only count the last 10 as the MTF). Will at least lose 2 minutes

But how much will G take out of Landa in the TT? How far ahead does Landa have to get before Sky designate G as his minion? I'm not sure he can put enough in by the end of stage 10 for them to write him off. He's British, on a British team, nobody in the UK will care if Sky Sports News say Landa is top 3, they'll be interested if G is though.
 
I think Landa will do well in the time trial, but you are right in saying that Thomas won't be his minion (unless he cracks spectacularly on Etna or Blockhaus). And tbh, if he doesn't the next serious test will be the Stelvio day and then there's that...

But all I care about is that Landa won't be slaving for Thomas, Landa can do well for himself as long he is supported on the flats, it just depends if he's strong enough
 
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Valv.Piti said:
Netserk said:
I think Thomas will do really well in the first two weeks. Could very well sit in the top-3 at that point.
Will be left in the dust before Lanciano
I'm not sure. Let's not forget how good he was in LPSM in the tdf 2015, a stage which was very similar to the Blockhaus stage. I think Thomas will crack at some point but I don't expect that to happen on single climb stages but in the very hard stages of the 3rd week.
 
Still lost 2 minutes tho.

Maybe I'm reading too much into Lo Port, but I just don't think he has got what it takes to to well on those kinda climbs (Blockhaus is 10 km at 9,4%, I think). He is great at power climbs tho, thats why I also think he will do well at Etna which is very comparable to Terminillo.
 
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Thomas's climbing ability is honestly very good and it's the wrong point to criticize his chances on. His weakness is a major crack/meltdown due to poor recovery but his raw climbing is on par with everyone except Quintana. One example of that this year out-climbing the Giro field bar Quintana: http://www.cyclingnews.com/races/tirreno-adriatico-2017/stage-4/results/

He has a higher chance to blow up in the 3rd week than then other proven GT riders for sure, but I think theres a chance it also all comes together for him and he doesn't get that bad day. In which case I think he can podium.
 
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deValtos said:
Ya, could be. Let's find out.
I probably will end up looking like a tool. :p

The 3 most favoured riders in the race (Quintana, Kruijswijk and Nibali) are generally under par early in a GT which could be very good for him. Or he could just be so good the he would be able to follow the best. I think it will be up to Landa to try to force selection early on, maybe Pinot as well.
 
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Netserk said:
I think Thomas will do really well in the first two weeks. Could very well sit in the top-3 at that point.

Then it's probably game over for Landa, he'll drag him up through Stelvio stage and they will both end up loosing time. If I was him, I would attack on Blockhaus, maybe even on Etna stage..
 
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Mr.White said:
Netserk said:
I think Thomas will do really well in the first two weeks. Could very well sit in the top-3 at that point.

Then it's probably game over for Landa, he'll drag him up through Stelvio stage and they will both end up loosing time. If I was him, I would attack on Blockhaus, maybe even on Etna stage..
Landa needs to do something, there are only 2 serious mountain stages before Stelvio and a pretty long ITT. But he said he will ignore team orders if he felt strong
 
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Valv.Piti said:
Mr.White said:
Netserk said:
I think Thomas will do really well in the first two weeks. Could very well sit in the top-3 at that point.

Then it's probably game over for Landa, he'll drag him up through Stelvio stage and they will both end up loosing time. If I was him, I would attack on Blockhaus, maybe even on Etna stage..
Landa needs to do something, there are only 2 serious mountain stages before Stelvio and a pretty long ITT. But he said he will ignore team orders if he felt strong
He said that? :surprised: