Who wins the Tour 2017?

[DanielSong39]

Might as well flip a 3-sided coin to find the winner:

1. Froome
2. Porte
3. Field (all others)

I will go with... Froome. Followed by the usual controversies and shenanigans

 

[railxmig]

Non of the guys mentioned above (i wished it would happen ). It will be the magnificent Silvan Dillier, while paying tribute to Jens Voigt

 

[bob.a.feet]

Richie Porte. I think a lot of people will by surprised by Froome's performance in this Tour

 

[Pennino]

AC

 

[slim charles]

I think, unfortunately, it will be Froome again. Porte seems to be the biggest rival. I am not that fond of either, so I hope it will be someone else, but it seems like they are the strongest now

 

[Singer01]

Froome 50%
Porte 25%
the field 25% (with Quintana most likely to win if anyone).

 

[portugal11]

For me is froome 70%, porte 15%, contador 10%, bala 4%, others 1%

 

[wheresmybrakes]

1. Porte
2. Quintana
3. Froome

I think Porte will win it on the final TT, Quintana will win the mountain battle but lose out to Porte in the TT, Froome will start off slow and gradually work his way up to the last podium spot before he goes on to demolish the Vuelta!

 

[RedheadDane]

Re:

Might as well flip a 3-sided coin to find the winner:

1. Froome
2. Porte
3. Field (all others)

I will go with... Froome. Followed by the usual controversies and shenanigans

That's gonna be... pretty crowded.

 

[Gigs_98]

Re: Re:

Might as well flip a 3-sided coin to find the winner:

1. Froome
2. Porte
3. Field (all others)

I will go with... Froome. Followed by the usual controversies and shenanigans

That's gonna be... pretty crowded.

To be fair the route isn't very hard this year so time gaps won't be very big. So many riders with same time seems a bit unlikely to me though.

 

[Inquitus]

1. Froome - Wasn't at his best in the Dauphine, but didn't need to be, I think he is aiming to peak a little later this year in order to do the Tour / Vuelta double.
2. Porte - Worried he has peaked too early and was too strong at the Dauphine, defo the only rider capable of putting it up to Froome from July 1st
3. QUintana - best of the rest, can't see him threatening with the Giro in his legs tbh!

 

[DFA123]

I'm kind of struggling to see how Porte will finish 2nd. It seems to me like he'll either have his usual bad day and will do well to finish in the top 5. Or he won't, and will maintain his current form throughout - in which case he'll probably win.

 

[Zinoviev Letter]

Re:

Some weird options I must say: Dan Martin whose best Tour result is 9th, Pinot after having ridden the Giro and to a lesser degree Chaves who has shown nothing all year.

Who would you have in instead? Once you get past the favourite (Froome), the secondary favourites (Quintana, Porte) and the dark horses (Contador, Valverde), the Martins and Pinots are as good as it gets

 

[Zinoviev Letter]

Froome is the hot favourite and will likely win comfortably if he doesn't get sick or pick up an injury. The Dauphine did at least give us the possibility that Froome might turn up enough below par for Porte or Quintana to challenge him. But while I would welcome a real contest, the likelihood is that Sky strangles the race again.

 

[Valv.Piti]

Re:

It's this year or never. It would have been heresy of me not voting for the Don.

<3

 

[Red Rick]

Given that Porte Era was followed by Fuglsang uphill, I'm inclined to somewhat question how good he is. He needs a level extra, but it's easy to see Contador, Froome or Valverde taking it up more than just the one notch.

 

[bob.a.feet]

Unpopular opinion: I don't think Quintana will podium. Froome, Porte, Valverde, Aru, Fuglsang, and Bardet all have better chances in my opinion

 

[Alexandre B.]

I voted Froome, partly because he has the best team around him and Porte has less strengths than him.

If someone vote Pinot, you can be sure he has Lino Ventura as avatar.

 

[Tank Engine]

Re:

Some weird options I must say: Dan Martin whose best Tour result is 9th, Pinot after having ridden the Giro and to a lesser degree Chaves who has shown nothing all year.

Anyway, Quintana is going to win the Tour. I believe in Unzue's "2nd GT"-hypothesis

Dan Martin will win the Tour ...... if
1) The race is changed into a series of one-day races over semi-mountainous courses with the overall determined by points.
2) Alex Greendale retires.

Quintana's form is always solid, but Froome is on a upwards trend and I think is the favourite. Porte and Movistar are the big rivals.

I hope Bardet will do a few interesting things, especially on the Cat Mountain stage.

 

[Squire]

Re: Re:

I hope Bardet will do a few interesting things, especially on the Cat Mountain stage.

Félix should've stayed around for this Tour.

 

[yaco]

Porte
Aru
Valverde

 

[dacooley]

after nibs spontaneously finding 50 extra watts in three weeks between dauphine and tour and taking the big one with a 10 minutes margin, we'd better never say plain 'no'. porte was million times said 'huh, porte, are you fricking serious? he'll never ever... even top 10 in a gt' before and he's a clear #2 a few years later on. so I wouldn't write dan martin off completely. I don't share some people referring to the second gt strategy for nairo. Anyway, last year he managed to beat the post-tour froome (equal terms). post-giro chaves, and injured contador in the vuelta. fresh sky, porte, contador and bardet is a diffrerent story. though, his odds, about 8:1, seem the most profitable to me.

 

[Son of Amsterhammer]

Re:

after nibs spontaneously finding 50 extra watts in three weeks between dauphine and tour and taking the big one with a 10 minutes margin, we'd better never say plain 'no'. porte was million times said 'huh, porte, are you fricking serious? he'll never ever... even top 10 in a gt' before and he's a clear #2 a few years later on. so I wouldn't write dan martin off completely. I don't share some people referring to the second gt strategy for nairo. Anyway, last year he managed to beat the post-tour froome (equal terms). post-giro chaves, and injured contador in the vuelta. fresh sky, porte, contador and bardet is a diffrerent story. though, his odds, about 8:1, seem the most profitable to me.

For sure. If you're betting, they are very fair odds.

 

[Tank Engine]

Re:

after nibs spontaneously finding 50 extra watts in three weeks between dauphine and tour and taking the big one with a 10 minutes margin, we'd better never say plain 'no'. porte was million times said 'huh, porte, are you fricking serious? he'll never ever... even top 10 in a gt' before and he's a clear #2 a few years later on. so I wouldn't write dan martin off completely. I don't share some people referring to the second gt strategy for nairo. Anyway, last year he managed to beat the post-tour froome (equal terms). post-giro chaves, and injured contador in the vuelta. fresh sky, porte, contador and bardet is a diffrerent story. though, his odds, about 8:1, seem the most profitable to me.

The Nibali voodoo was working at its peak though then. Froome and Contador crashed out and by TdF standards, the rest of the competition was pretty derisory (no offence to Bardet or Pinot, but they were just coming onto the scene at that level).

I like Danny Boy a lot as a rider, but as a GC contender, his TT is way below standard (OK this tour doesn't have a lot, but when you're giving away several minutes for sure, it's not a good start) and his racing mentality (as well as talent) seems much more attuned to one-day racing. Probable top 10 and a very good chance to win a stage or two. He's never shown the ability to win the TdF (and that is what this poll is about). At least Porte has shown some indications of such ability this year, although a 100% Porte has more weak points than a 100% Froome.

 

[Singer01]

*** bookies have birdsong as 5th favourite, wtf?