the big ring said:
If you think you can start as well as Brad Wiggins out of a gate, then you must be very confident. Vics masters are on at DISC this weekend - will I see you down there?
Armstrong, Mcgee, Hushovd, Moreau, Cancellara, all have won prologues.
The best indication of a prologue, Dauphine, the 4km one, up and back. Best indication of the watts. Indicative of a pursuit, hit threshold, hold it, and do it twice, 2km each. In 2006 Dauphine, the year he gave away the track, he was way back. About 12 seconds.
Not talking starts and track skills. Just talking what he can do in a chrono, is more indicative of his GT ability. And reverse engineering it, all these guys who beat him over 4 minutes, if they get the track skills, you dont think they can take Wigans?
Wigans teammates, Hayles, Manning, Thomas, Clancy, all sub 4'20". But what have they done. They compete in a discipline, with really weak depth. They rise to the top, cos the depth is so weak. If the Germans had a richly funded track program, and took Greipel, Martin, Ciolek, Bartko for a teams pursuit, they would whip anyone else. Bartko bested 4 minutes in Sydney in the teams. And did 4'17" in the IP. He is younger than Manning. Much younger than Hayles. Martin rode teams pursuits in the jnrs. I dont know of Greipel and Ciolek.
Folks overrate track medals, the best talent migrates to the road where the big $$$ are. Mcgee is the only guy who has pulled off a prologue at the Tour, arguably the best indication of talent of 10 minute testing.