- Aug 6, 2011
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SuperWiggo said:Has anyone who has won anything tested positive for this stuff? It doesn't seem to be a game changer. You can't win a tour on it. The real dopers need blood. That's why they don't go well at the Dauphine. I agree with thehog that poor performance at the Dauphine marks out the dopers.
As someone said, look at Wiggens' performance last year, he won the Dauphiné. As it is the most recent example, it might be the most representative one for the current situation. Wiggens was good throughout the year, with very limited amount of pronounced troughs in his performance curve. That is indicative of metabolic modulators, not blood doping. I haven't had access to Wiggins' blood passport values, but I imagine his values to be relatively stable, giving anyone with access an easy excuse to claim he's clean. The effect size of metabolic modulators can be quite substantial. (With dangerously high, read cancer initiating, dosing levels, effect sizes up to an additional 70% in endurance are found with GW-501516 alone; estimated effect sizes of blood doping are much, much lower.)*
However, you also make another point, that no top rider has tested positive for GW-501516. While this may seem to indicate that the top finishers are not using metabolic modulators, it doesn't actually say much. Most metabolic modulators are just peptides, sequences of amino acids, and can easily be customized. As most of those products are not produced by the pharmaceutical industry, GW-50 did not even make it to the clinical trials, they are manufactured on custom order by sequencing labs in, e.g., Israel and China. Those labs can make about any custom amino acid sequence up to a certain size, but it comes at a price.
GW-501516 is relatively cheap on the "black market" of "research compounds", as it is ordered in bulk. However, as GW-50 is a discontinued research compound with a know structure and effective urine test, it is not usable by top riders. Unfortunately, this is not the end of the story. As you can order custom sequences, it is fairly easy to customize the peptide, order it from a sequencing lab (expensive!) and check if it still works. As you now have a new compound with an unknown sequence, it is virtually impossible to make a test for it. Thus, just as I expected, low-grade and young riders from the pro-continental tour are getting busted for the relatively low-budget GW-50, while top riders with higher budgets are near impossible to bust.
This customizing of doping is not a new thing, designer drugs have been around for while, starting out by customizing anabolic steroids and now they've moved on to the new generation of PEDs, such as GW and SARMS.
* Besides boosting endurance, the right metabolic modulators, like GW-501516 also make you lose weight like crazy, the initial reason for development of the drug (anti-obesity). High sustainable watts with extremely low body weight, sound familiar?