World Championships 2024: Men's Road Race (September 29)

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Without Mohoric the race will be Pogi vs Slovenia feat. Remco.
Pogi's UAE teammates will riding under different flags, but some of them would be very prominent in the lead pack, add the Monaco-based regular training mates who would also be there for unholy alliances. I'm sure there would only be a handful of medal contenders after the last climb, and if Pogi and Rog could both make the final selection, then may the better sprinter wins. If he could stick with the big guns on all climbs, I predict an upset win by local boy Hirschi.
 
New bike for Pog

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That looks like the job of your random second division Italian team jersey designer
 
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Of course the weather plays a role in it, but based on how U23 was riding you can make the race really hard. Thing is that U23 was so hard because favourites went very early. I don't see Pogacar doing what Del Toro did for example.
 
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Lots of ds regretting their team choices after u23, all the "climber route" hype clouded their judgment. I mean, where is Lazkano Spain, and why choosing lands or ayuso who are going to die from exhaustion after three laps?
 
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Remember that prior to whenever the Vuelta switched to late summer, the Vuelta and virtually overlapped, so there was no way to win all 3 in the same year. But I don’t know if the notion of a “triple crown” existed back then.
I'm aware (started being a cyling fan in ~1990), but the 'old' three was Giro, Tdf, Vuelta consecuatively, but not in the same year for the reason you pointed out.
 
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After analysing GPX data it can be seen that the second part of the second ascent rises 100 m in about 1.3 km (averaging circa 7.5%). It also includes a steeper 9-10% fragment. Pretty decent section to make a decisive move.
 
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It's going to be really interesting between these gc type of riders and classic type of riders. Seems like big riders can handle this and they may not fade that badly in higher amount of laps because enough years and races and grand tours. But then again there are some gc riders that are not fading like Christen did if they go solo very far out.
 
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The favorites went really hard, and it was still won by a rouleur.

It looks a lot better for Van Aert than I initially thought.

Wait.
If it's good for Van Aert, it's better for Van der Poel. So yeah... probably still wouldn't have won.

I think if the elite race were held today, in this weather, it would have been a 50 k Pogacar solo to the line though. For excitement's sake, let's hope it will indeed be a little better on Sunday.
 
as always, people stop to analyze at tge length of the climbs. The fact that they are not done only once or twice seems irrelevant, not to mention the D+ meters which always seems to be a random and meaningless number. okay...
 
as always, people stop to analyze at tge length of the climbs. The fact that they are not done only once or twice seems irrelevant, not to mention the D+ meters which always seems to be a random and meaningless number. okay...
While that’s probably true it’s a lot harder for any cycling fan or commentator to to try to predict outcomes on things like recovery ability in a 6-7 hr hilly race with a lot of cumulative elevation. That’s because we don’t have any metrics for that, there is no baseline for the elite pros performance on this course, especially given this isn’t a course they repeat some variation of each year. It’s not like we have ( except perhaps for Mou😊) their trainings numbers for hill repeats.
So folks here entertain themselves and each other making guesses with the information they do have. No need to be snarky about that.