Cobblestones said:Nonetheless, the agreement of the Arab league with the no-fly zone was seen as the 'sea change moment'.
I don't agree with you. Egypt's military is likely very much superior. A lot of US help went into it, lot's of US trained officers. They should be able to handle Libya on their own (although it would be quite a bit messier). Also, it would help building a national, democratic identity. Just imagine Egypt's gain in status had they done that. I believe it would have been possible to convince them within a few days. Libya is in a state of civil war, not genocide or great humanitarian crisis. There was no catch 22. Time wasn't running out (yet).
What have you now? Old colonial powers (UK, France), supported by some autocratic Arab states (UAE, Qatar) and other countries with oil interests supposedly bringing democracy and self-determination to Libya? How many people in the Arab world will see it this way? You are dreaming. This is an old fashioned grab for oil clothed as humanitarian intervention. Nothing more, nothing less, and that's precisely how it will be perceived.
You are rightly bringing up Palestine. Why is there no humanitarian intervention on behalf of Gaza? Why is Israel allowed to build settlement after settlement on the West Banks? Why is Bahrain allowed to invite foreign troops to suppress their Shia majority? Why is Yemen allowed to massacre their population during peaceful protests?
I would like to see Gaddafi disappear. The sooner the better. But this is the wrong way. Among others it makes it easier for Syria etc. to claim that their own protesters are Western puppets.
ETA: Read this from a few days ago. There's talk about Arab participation and leadership. Does, what we have now look like Arab leadership, or even participation? The 'participation' of UAE and Qatar which we're still waiting for looks more like a fig leaf than anything else. Meanwhile the Arab league has turned on a dime (not that anybody should really care about some of those opinions).
First of all, despite Egypt's supposed military might, have they got the political wherewithal to act? I mean, they haven't even sorted out a post-Mubarak state and now you want them to take care of a neighbor's crisis? Talk about dreaming.
Secondly, the humanitarian aspect is only in regards to how the Western governments have tried to sell this to their societies. I'm well aware that this is all about other concerns behind the scenes. At the same time there is a real human drama taking place within the young Arab populations. To not respond to them, is to let the force of dictatorship cancel opportunity.
No we don't have an even moderately adequate Arab response to the crisis, however, Gaddafi will never disappear if left without international resistance. The Libyans can't do it alone, I think by now at least this is clear.
As far as the rest goes, this is what happens when you have entered into a bad business and politically have no alternatives.
