Red Rick said:
LaFlorecita said:
A thought:
At some point in the race, I believe Sagan had (according to GPS) ~55 seconds on G1 and ~1:15 on G2. G2 contained 3 Quick Step riders (Stybar, Gilbert, Lampaert) but as far as I recall they were doing no work, I think it was Vandenbergh who was working in this group. Shouldn't Quick Step have started working at this point? I understand that they wouldn't want to bring that many riders back to the Terpstra group, but with the Terpstra group failing to make up time on Sagan, you'd think it would have been the better choice. With 4 riders in a ~30 rider group and Terpstra probably the strongest besides Sagan, they would have had a great chance to win, as long as they would have caught Sagan.
Yes, I agree. I think the problem is that at this point Gilbert and Stybar were already wasted, and Lampaert wasn't strong enough to be much use at that point. They had their best rider in front at that point.
They made the mistake of getting caught out by GvA's attack. That shouldn't have happened. That's why they couldn't react to Sagan. If one of them joins that move, I think they don't get away, and if they do, Sagan still wins vs Lampaert, Stybar or Gilbert.
But it was a very good tactics from Sagan.
The cobbles are overestimated in tactical importance in Roubaix. The strong are separated from the weak there, but the winning move is made more often on the normal roads. It's happened a lot of times now that a chasing group waits for Carrefour to go all in on the chase and fails.
But they should've hit the front as soon as possible. They were 4 in the group and Sagan was on the run and escaping more and more. No matter how spent they were, at least one of them should've been on the front.
The truth is they're not much of a defensive team in those finales, cause they lack real workers. Even Lampaert would hesitate nowadays to hit the front and work for his teammates, let alone Gilbert and Stybar. They lacked clear hierarchy, and lacked strict orders from the DS.
Gilbert and Stybar gladly acts like "stoppers" in the group when their teammate is up the road, cause they know they would not spend much energy and if somehow their mate is being caught they have very good chances for the win in that situation, and if he's not caught, they could sprint for podium or mark a late attack, which happened that way couple of times (Gilbert 2nd and 3rd at E3 and Ronde). But if they work on the front, they know they're "dead", there's no chance for them anymore in that race.
That was the main problem at QS in yesterday's race, I think. When they are on the offensive, they're deadly, but on the defensive not so much.