rm7 said:
Hugo Koblet said:
LaFlorecita said:
It is not possible to peak for both the Giro and the Tour. He either needs to peak for the Giro and hold his form throughout the following 2 months, or build towards a peak during the Giro and reach that peak at the Tour.
Yes, it is possible to peak for both the Giro and the Tour, and Contador will be very close to peak condition (at least that's the plan) in the Giro.
Yes, I also think its possible to peak for both the Giro and the Tour, but you have to sacrifice everything else (1 week races etc). But the problem is, that you can't peak for all three weeks in both grand tours.
He has to come into the the Giro with low fatigue and around 94-95 % shape - 2nd and 3rd week it'll be close to 100 %. Then no racing, only training to keep fatiuge down, and then come into the Tour at maybe 95 %. I think his Tour form will be like his Vuelta 2014, and maybe Giro form little less.
All you need is a backloaded Giro to hit peak shape just about the last week, a main-contender that's likely to crack at least once anyway, a Tour where it's again enough to be in shape just before week 2 and a main-contender who gets nervous if pressure him by surprise.
Pantani 98
Most likely Contador will have all of this just like Pantani had in 98.
He will either fail to succeed of course or will have another miscalculation like in 11, when he tries to hold his Giro shape again! In that case LaFlo will have to realize, that toward his palmares Contador just hasn't got the quality of peak Pantani!
That said, if Contador manages 2nd at the Tour behind Quintana it's definitely a success.