British politics

[Red Rick]

Could anyone explain how this would've gone had Schotland voted for independence? Just a random thought

 

[The Hitch]

Re:

Could anyone explain how this would've gone had Schotland voted for independence? Just a random thought

Remain would have thrown in the towel about a month ago.

 

[Pricey_sky]

Re:

Could anyone explain how this would've gone had Schotland voted for independence? Just a random thought

Don't have the exact figures so far but the majority of Scottish results have been remain, Scotland would not have been in this UK referendum so Leave would have been overwhelming favourites now.

 

[Red Rick]

Re: Re:

Could anyone explain how this would've gone had Schotland voted for independence? Just a random thought

Don't have the exact figures so far but the majority of Scottish results have been remain, Scotland would not have been in this UK referendum so Leave would have been overwhelming favourites now.

So the rest of GBR campaigned their butt off, so Scottland could keep them in the EU, which they don't want
That's only one matter though

 

[The Hitch]

I've gone through one guys spreadsheet of what was neccesary for a 50-50 split
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hCtN3IY76azcr_6OiFPvZI0eXi_8JJqxT7d8vNhW2Do/edit#gid=0

Almost every result has the leave vote overperforming. Usually slightly - 1 or 2%, sometimes by more like 5-10%.

I think only London can save the remain now.

 

[Red Rick]

Betfair has implied odds of over 60% now

 

[Pricey_sky]

Leave are now 1/3 and 4/11 in most places. As Hitch said, only London can save Remain now...

 

[gooner]

Yes, just Scotland and London are keeping Remain in the game.

 

[The Hitch]

bbc has Jacob Rees Mogg and Hillary Benn on at the same time. 2 of the very few politicians who won't just repeat talking points and will concede points if the argument isn't there.

 

[shalgo]

Re:

I've gone through one guys spreadsheet of what was neccesary for a 50-50 split
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hCtN3IY76azcr_6OiFPvZI0eXi_8JJqxT7d8vNhW2Do/edit#gid=0

Almost every result has the leave vote overperforming. Usually slightly - 1 or 2%, sometimes by more like 5-10%.

I think only London can save the remain now.

That spreadsheet is only England, though, isn't it? Remain can win with less than 50% in England.

EDIT: Although the numbers coming in now are far enough off from these 50/50 England benchmarks that it still looks good for Leave.

 

[The Hitch]

Re: Re:

I've gone through one guys spreadsheet of what was neccesary for a 50-50 split
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hCtN3IY76azcr_6OiFPvZI0eXi_8JJqxT7d8vNhW2Do/edit#gid=0

Almost every result has the leave vote overperforming. Usually slightly - 1 or 2%, sometimes by more like 5-10%.

I think only London can save the remain now.

That spreadsheet is only England, though, isn't it? Remain can win with less than 50% in England.

EDIT: Although the numbers coming in now are far enough off from these 50/50 England benchmarks that it still looks good for Leave.

edit: good point. I think you are right.

 

[BigMac]

Why is Farage celebrating?

 

[CheckMyPecs]

GBP crashing to its lowest level since 1985. If London and Bristol fail to turn this around, it'll be a bloodbath for sterling.

 

[movingtarget]

4% lead for Brexit. Not looking good for the stayers !

 

[gooner]

ITV and the BBC call it for Leave to win.

 

[Archibald]

Re:

ITV and the BBC call it for Leave to win.

currently 1m votes ahead for the Leave (14.6m v 13.6m) - doubt the stayers would make that up

 

[lenric]

Catastrophic. However, needed. EU has too many bureaucracy and too less of a free market. It's falling apart and this Brexit win isn't a vote against the EU, but rather a vote against the current route of it.

 

[Scott SoCal]

Wow.

Wow. Wow. Wow.

Beginning of the end for the EU.

 

[gooner]

A near certainty there will be a 2nd independence Scottish referendum.

Martin McGuiness again as in previous weeks if Leave won, calling for a referendum for a united Ireland. While Sinn Fein campaigned for a Remain vote, I don't think they are too disappointed at the same time. They see this as an opportunity.

 

[CheckMyPecs]

Re: Re:

Dundee as predicted. Scotland pretty much holding up as a strong remain.,,

There will surely be another Scottish referendum should Leave win and Scotland vote to remain.

Maybe but not sure about that. Most people have accepted the first result...we shall see...

As an Englishman, all I can say to our Scottish friends is get out of the Union before Little England sinks you all.

 

[gooner]

Re:

Wow.

Wow. Wow. Wow.

Beginning of the end for the EU.

And it starts.

BNO NewsVerified account
‏@BNONews
BREAKING: Dutch Party for Freedom leader Geert Wilders calls for Dutch EU referendum after Brexit

 

[ferryman]

Re: Re:

Dundee as predicted. Scotland pretty much holding up as a strong remain.,,

There will surely be another Scottish referendum should Leave win and Scotland vote to remain.

Maybe but not sure about that. Most people have accepted the first result...we shall see...

As an Englishman, all I can say to our Scottish friends is get out of the Union before Little England sinks you all.

The Union is sunk after that English vote. Little England indeed. Deary deary deary deary deary me.

 

[DamianoMachiavelli]

The pound has cratered. Might be a good day to search for cycling stuff on UK sites. I might not get much work done tomorrow.

 

[Jagartrott]

Goodbye, exceptionalists. Good luck with Nigel 'and not a bullet has been fired' Farage.

 

[lenric]

The population of that study was only 1652 people.