lilac harry quinn said:
I can't see anyone beating the womens' sprint records from the 80s any time soon. Serious question: if doping is all that is responsible for the improvement in mens' sprint records this century, why has no woman (not even a juiced Marion Jones) come close to the records of Griffiths-Joyner and Koch?
That one has had me as well. Let me put a proposal. Left to their own devices athletes juice as much as they have to, to get to where they want to be.
On a state run program like that of the eastern block nations in the 60's through to the late 80's it wasn't an "optional program" but a coach led program - our way or the highway. The USA response for 1984 was serious, it is what spawned the blood doping program run by US cycling. Now we have various versions of how that played out. According to the few who have confessed, it was optional and whilst one or two who have confessed did it, you didn't have to partake - for example Connie Carpenter, mum of Taylor Phinney has never committed that she took part and happily holds onto her untarnished gold medal. Alternatively, if we believe Inge Thompson it was entirely optional, but if you didn't do it you were off the squad. So perhaps we can say that the athletes of the late 80s were the products of a systemised doping campaign that had run through the last 6 to 8 years of their lives and had optimised gains at that point in time.
Then we have the whole Ben Johnson saga in 1988 and perhaps there was a "lightening" of programs afterwards in response to the bust of the No 1 star and bit like the riders did in 1999, in response to Festina of 98. Of course that enabled Lance and the Posties to sweep past Jan and the rest. But with no "US Posties" in women's T & F sprint, there was no arms race to match, the bar was lowered.
The fault in this argument is why has the bar stayed low for women and not risen in recent years like it has for the men. Could it be that Bolt is "too big to fail" and what he gets away with, causes others to take more risks to chase him in the arms race, thinking they can get away with ? Whilst no such competition exists for the women, there being no star who is protected and as such all are "fair game" for the testers - both 2008 Beijing Sprint gold medalists from Jamaica, Shelly Ann Brown and Veronica Fraser being caught and banned. The Marion Jones thing would also have had a depressing effect on the perceived risk-reward ratio, so the perceived risk is higher and the need is less as no-one is kicking the back-side out of it like Bolt.
It is about the best I can come up with, but I will happily read other's hypotheses.