As usual. Roglic, when defeated, hasn't the legs, isn't in form, still suffers from a crash (recently but also weeks/months ago), suffers from cold etc. etc. Conversely, if he wins, those circumstances/excuses should not be used by the losing opponents or neutral analysts. We had clear examples in the Vuelta 22 and the Giro 23. In the Vuelta 22, some Roglic-fans already started to laugh and ridiculise the opponents after Roglic won an uphill sprint in the first days of the Vuelta. Later, he was twice clearly beaten by Evenepoel. Before Evenepoel had a few minor days as a result of a double crash. Roglic could take some time back but was also beaten once by the very young Ayuso. So, the moment Roglic crashed out, Evenepoel was still comfortable in the lead. As we could see the last days of the Vuelta, Evenepoel was very strong those last days. No way Roglic could have taken back a minute.
At the start of the Giro 23 Roglic was destroyed by Evenepoel in the TT. Later, Evenepoel went into trouble, as it later turned out due to a Covid infection. He had to give up while he was still in the lead. All of this was hardly taken into account by the Roglic fans. Afterwards, Roglic had the greatest difficulty not losing too much time on the old, worn-out Thomas. Ultimately, he needed a uphill time trial to just jump into the lead on the penultimate day. In those circumstances he could never have won against Evenepoel.
This time, Roglic did the same as usual. Sitting in the wheels. Therefore probably forced Evenepoel to make a few wrong tactical choices, leading to a loss. For the rest, he never gave the impression that he could beat the UAE riders, Jorgenson and Evenepoel. During the final stage, Vlasow who was in the leading trio didn't ride..... because Roglic was behind. Roglic didn't ride in the chasing group.... because Vlasov was "in the lead". Shameful. Fortunately, he was subsequently destroyed.
I will repeat it again. Without a superteam as Jumbo (the actual Vismateam) and still wheelsucking, Roglic has only 90 % of his (winning)capacity anymore. Also never been used to take initiative or to make up for a deficit before the final km.