Haven't read all of this thread, so apologies if I'm repeating something that's been said before ...
My belief is that pricing bears little or no relationship to cost ... This is based in part on my experience with my current roadie - which is a Cannondale Six13. Oh, and pricing details are from when I still lived in New Zealand - but Cannondale pricing is pretty consistent globally, so I guess comments could apply elsewhere - and, I would suggest, to every other brand.
Anyhow, when I got my frame/fork, the Six13 was the top of the line roadie. A fully kitted top of the line model (Dura Ace, Ksyriums, etc) went for NZ$11k or thereabouts. This pricing stayed about the same level for two years until Cannondale released the System Six - which then became the top model bike. At that stage, the price on the top of the line Six13 - still with basically the same kit out (save details like seat and bars) dropped to about NZ$8k. Same bike ... just now number two in the pecking order of frames. All good for another year or so until the first of the Six (ie., full carbon frames) came out. Then the price on the Six13 - still with D-A and Kysriums - dropped to about NZ$5k. The only material thing that changed throughout this time was the place of the Six13 frame in Cannondale's model range.
Similar issues arise when you check out pricing on 'cross bikes and the equialvently speced roadie (cross bikes are much better value) ... or roadies vs a similar level MTB (where you pay over the odds for the dirt bike)
As I say, Cannondale aren't alone in this kind of pricing behaviour - I have simply chosen them as an illustration because my bikes are Cannondales (and, despite what may be perceived as a criticism by my posting, I'd recommend them as a manufacturer to anybody). Also, the bike industry isn't alone in this. Check out outdoor gear - putting the word "alpine" or "ski" in front of "jacket", "pants" or "pack" can add up to 25% compared to the equivalent item with the word "hiking" in front of it ...
To those who talk about recouping costs of development over a product's commercial life, I ask the following three questions:
- if that is the case and if the Cannondale example I gave reflects mature product pricing, why weren't the previous model Campag Record and Shimano DuraAce groupsets going for less than $1000 (arbitrary price level for the sake of illustration) after the first 5 or so years of their "life"?
- how can manufacturers really justify the gouging that goes on for top of the line equipment? Case in point is with the Campag that I run - the difference between the Chorus and Record rear mechs that I run is one bolt, which adds about $100 to the price of the Record derailleur. Similarly, according to Campag's spare parts lists, the Veloce levers I just put on my cross bike only differ from Super Record in the 10 speed/11 speed ratchet in the right lever and the brake lever blade ... and the price tag ....
- really, how much development cost - other than marketing bulls**t - is there? I mean, for all of the curvy seat stays and top tubes, the design on bikes hasn't changed for over 100 years. The location and nature of frame stresses during use are well known. Throw in a bit of CAD/CAM software and I'm really hard pressed to see how - in anything short of a full suspension MTB with some new fangled set up - much development is required (and that's without factoring in the savings from the outsourced, low labour cost, Taiwanese or Chinese production facility ...)
Over all, I think that the industry is a classic case of largely uninformed customers and suppliers who - quite rightly from their point of view, as they are operating businesses, not charities - pricing to the point that the market will bear rather than to costs. Classic case of "caveat emptor" - let the buyer beware ... or more to the point "be-a-ware" ...