Paris-Nice 2022 (03/06 - 03/13)

[Devil's Elbow]

500m at 6% is probably the top end a pure sprinter can win on, and if its like 30m of elevation gain coming in flying plays a huge role too.

Pure sprinters may not get dropped but they'll waste a LOT of anaerobic capacity in the wheels if you go 40kph at a 3.5% gradient

Hmm. The Vuelta stage Cavagna won solo a couple of years back ended with 850 metres at 7%, the final 600 metres of which were on cobbles (as per PRC), and Bennett beat Stybar, Gilbert and Valverde in the sprint for second. Démare has won a Paris-Nice stage ending with 1.9k at 5.4%, and in his 2020 superform could even win a Wallonie stage ahead of Gilbert and Van Avermaet that ended with 1.3k at 5.1%, after having survived a climb of 1.6k at 8.7% in the final 10k. Nokereberg is just under 400 metres at 5.3%, again on cobbles, so evidently well below the limit. The Tour stage where Kittel beat Coquard by millimetres was like 500 metres at 5%, so unless you're referring to that kind of pure sprinter I think the limit is a bit higher.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

Live Timing:

Official Website | Tissot Timing

Discover and follow all the results of the most important cycling competitions on the official Tissot Timing website.

www.tissottiming.com

 

[CyclistAbi]

Guys just please don't rain on the Jumbo parade.

 

[search]

yeah, van Aert mentioned Dennisas an opponent for the win today, and I guess he knew what's the plan.

Laporte may be a contender to take it easy though, I think. He went so slow in the end yesterday, it almost looked like he was searching for a gap to get rid of the jersey. Wouldn't be too surprising if he switches over to 100% dom role now

 

[Salvarani]

Dennis takes a big lead.

 

[SafeBet]

Dennis more than a minute faster than De Gendt at the finish...

 

[Red Rick]

Hmm. The Vuelta stage Cavagna won solo a couple of years back ended with 850 metres at 7%, the final 600 metres of which were on cobbles (as per PRC), and Bennett beat Stybar, Gilbert and Valverde in the sprint for second. Démare has won a Paris-Nice stage ending with 1.9k at 5.4%, and in his 2020 superform could even win a Wallonie stage ahead of Gilbert and Van Avermaet that ended with 1.3k at 5.1%, after having survived a climb of 1.6k at 8.7% in the final 10k. Nokereberg is just under 400 metres at 5.3%, again on cobbles, so evidently well below the limit. The Tour stage where Kittel beat Coquard by millimetres was like 500 metres at 5%, so unless you're referring to that kind of pure sprinter I think the limit is a bit higher.

Demare and Bennett are hardly the purest sprinters of the lot

 

[Devil's Elbow]

Demare and Bennett are hardly the purest sprinters of the lot

Hard to discard the two dominant sprinters of 2020 that way.

 

[Red Rick]

Hard to discard the two dominant sprinters of 2020 that way.

Its not discarding them. I am magnaminously praising their versatility

 

[Netserk]

The Tour stage where Kittel beat Coquard by millimetres was like 500 metres at 5%, so unless you're referring to that kind of pure sprinter I think the limit is a bit higher.

Yep: https://veloviewer.com/segments/10761862

How well sprinters climb obviously depend a lot on their form/training, e.g. sometimes Ewan will get dropped easily.

 

[SafeBet]

Hayter was as fast as Dennis in the second part of the time trial.

 

[Mayomaniac]

Hayter was as fast as Dennis in the second part of the time trial.

I mean, Hayter is strong in hilly TTs, but I get the feeling that 1 or 2 riders (at least) will be faster than Dennis.

 

[SafeBet]

I mean, Hayter is strong in hilly TTs, but I get the feeling that 1 or 2 riders (at least) will be faster than Dennis.

I'd say 1 or 2 from his own team... and then possibly a couple more.

 

[Mayomaniac]

I'd say 1 or 2 from his own team... and then possibly a couple more.

My main picks would be Roglic, Wout and Bissegger.

 

[sir fly]

The bicycle appears like a deity today.

 

[Lequack]

Bold prediction

 

[Devil's Elbow]

Almeida not in great form here...

 

[Tim Cahill]

Almeida isn't looking too sharp, he will have a tough time beating Fausto in the coming Giro.

 

[Jumbo Visma Fan :)]

Almeida not in great form here...

Too early, but Quick-Step curse reeling it's ugly head right now. But it still is a ok result.

 

[Ilmaestro99]

Joao Almida with a 5 Yr contract on millions of € a year.

 

[sir fly]

Kung paced it well to the finale despite failing to top Dennis.
Gonna be the key for Bissegger too.

 

[Ilmaestro99]

Jaoao Almida is a Portuguese Robert Gesink?

 

[Eeslliw]

Jaoao Almida is a Portuguese Robert Gesink?

Nah, he is just sandbagging for Giro to stay under the radar.

 

[Samamba]

So 1 2 3 Jumbo confirmed?

 

[SafeBet]

Not a good time for Bissegger at T1.