Paul Seixas: Tour de France Winner 2031

[Lorzenz08]

It will be the year he will become a record holder alongside Pogacar and others.

I think Tadej will still get 2027 TdF and only do Giro - Vuelta in 2028

 

[canina82]

I think Tadej will still get 2027 TdF and only do Giro - Vuelta in 2028

The way Paulito is improving, Teddy doesn't have a chance next year. There is also a curse, no one could win 6 TdF in the past. Of course, one rider achieved 6 wins but we all know the curse prevailed.

 

[Lorzenz08]

The way Paulito is improving, Teddy doesn't have a chsnce next year.

Let see but I think next year Paul won't have a progression anywhere close to the one he had this year

 

[Jan the Man]

Is in incredible shape at present.

 

[Red Rick]

The way Paulito is improving, Teddy doesn't have a chance next year. There is also a curse, no one could win 6 TdF in the past. Of course, one rider achieved 6 wins but we all know the curse prevailed.

And now people go lol overboard.

Riders make a jump like this only once.

 

[canina82]

And now people go lol overboard.

Riders make a jump like this only once.

We will see. He is 19, not 23.

 

[Red Rick]

We will see. He is 19, not 23.

Age doesn't matter nearly as much as people make it out to be.

Many riders have made a similarly steep development at very different ages.

 

[canina82]

Age doesn't matter nearly as much as people make it out to be.

Many riders have made a similarly steep development at very different ages.

Like I said, we will see. He doesn't need to improve that much anymore so if I had to put money, I would put on Seixas next year.

 

[Red Rick]

Like I said, we will see. He doesn't need to improve that much anymore so if I had to put money, I would put on Seixas next year.

People are overreacting if they think he's close to Pogacar now.

 

[Offline]

Like I said, we will see. He doesn't need to improve that much anymore so if I had to put money, I would put on Seixas next year.

his performance today is below Pogacar in numbers. And we don’t know how he handle a 3rd week in grand tour so still think he need to take steps. He also very tall, might be a disadvantage for high long mountain. Let’s see time will tell, just let this amazing kid grow.

 

[Gigs_98]

My big hope is that these performances convince him he can be a TdF contender so soon that joining UAE and team Pogacar would be detrimental to his chances

 

[VayaVayaVaya]

He’s not close to Pogacar right now, but I think he’s clearly better than the Remco’s, Roglic’s, Del Toros of the world. He might be the #2 all around rider (classics + stage races). He is very clearly not at Pogacar level.

 

[canina82]

his performance today is below Pogacar in numbers. And we don’t know how he handle a 3rd week in grand tour so still think he need to take steps. He also very tall, might be a disadvantage for high long mountain. Let’s see time will tell, just let this amazing kid grow.

I said next year, not this year.

 

[Berniece]

I said next year, not this year.

Ayuso was also 19 when he stagnated

 

[Coppi-Bartali]

Ayuso was always far from Vingegaard. Ayuso has never dropped Roglic.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2041580684590911672

View: https://x.com/Na1chaca/status/2041580684590911672?s=20

 

[topcat]

Today was my first time watching Seixas. He's one to keep an eye on.
No boundaries, no frontiers, foie gras - the last true French art form.

 

[Coppi-Bartali]

And now people go lol overboard.

Riders make a jump like this only once.

Seixas has had several impressive improvements in the last two years. In 2023, Bisiaux was touted as Decathlon's next big star, no Seixas. In 2024, Seixas made a stunning leap. In 2025, it seemed he would maintain that level until the Avenir, which he didn't win so easily. In autumn, he made another impressive leap. This year, he's taken another leap in February, and from Algarve to now, he seems to have made another bigger.

There have also been those who made a crazy leap forward at a young age and then plummeted. I'm thinking of Berzin and Saronni. They had a monstrous peak very young. Nowadays, it seems less likely to happen with the control that teams have.
They might experience a stagnation like Ayuso, but Berzin and Saronni had an alarming decline too young.

Ayuso never showed any improvement in his performance. His best year was his first, but his Vuelta, while a good result, wasn't spectacular, and he benefited from Roglic's crash. Ayuso showed signs of being good, but that he might not improve. Seixas has been improving month by month since 2024. He only experienced a slight stagnation in 2025 until after Avenir.

 

[AnotherArmChair]

Seixas looks better than Pog at the same age , ie 19

I really hope he doesn't do the Tour this year and develops at his own pace.
But I think he will do the Tour because that manager they have at Decathlon, the one demanding results on Netflix and who knows very little about cycling (didnt come from cycling) said late last year that Seixas was doing the Tour this year. Decathlon are I would say beside themselves with their young hope.. A top rider in a French team definitely capable of winning the Tour ..happy sponsors I would say and they will want to show him off

Of course a 3 week tour is a different challenge for him and 3 weeks is different to a week long race on the body esp at 19 year old

Has to be disconcerting for someone like Ayuso who should be beating Seixas at a Spanish race and the rest of the field of young contenders...he has blown them out of the water

 

[VayaVayaVaya]

Seixas looks better than Pog at the same age , ie 19

I really hope he doesn't do the Tour this year and develops at his own pace.
But I think he will do the Tour because that manager they have at Decathlon, the one demanding results on Netflix and who knows very little about cycling (didnt come from cycling) said late last year that Seixas was doing the Tour this year. Decathlon are I would say beside themselves with their young hope.. A top rider in a French team definitely capable of winning the Tour ..happy sponsors I would say and they will want to show him off

Of course a 3 week tour is a different challenge for him and 3 weeks is different to a week long race on the body esp at 19 year old

Has to be disconcerting for someone like Ayuso who should be beating Seixas at a Spanish race and the rest of the field of young contenders...he has blown them out of the water

Oh no, that guy is still running the team? Seemed like a complete disaster but will now have his delusions reinforced by the genetic freak show of Seixas.

 

[Tonton]

People are overreacting if they think he's close to Pogacar now.

This ^^^.

I would love to state otherwise, but the last time I checked, at Strade, Paul was not close. I can't wait for LBL and hope that Paul gets a little closer. I'll pop the Champagne when he slays the dragon, so tonight, I'll (only) have a beer. That one will taste good. But that's where we're at.

"How can you govern a country which has two hundred and forty-six varieties of cheese?" said De Gaulle. I'm not surprised that some French "cycling fans" are negative: some are because that's how they are, the "oui mais" people, and others because they can't believe that what they witness is true, there are cynics and sceptics who don't believe in miracles and Wonderboys.

Paul Seixas is a miracle for cycling, not just French cycling. I believe. But no Champagne tonight: the day will come. Just a beer.

 

[Pippo_San]

So it seems like the hype train is going full steam ahead.
Too soon for me to jump aboard, but the kid is certainly a new wonderboy to observe closely and carefully.
This Itzulia is a nice test but there are question marks over his different opponent's form.

 

[dazaau]

So it seems like the hype train is going full steam ahead.
Too soon for me to jump aboard, but the kid is certainly a new wonderboy to observe closely and carefully.
This Itzulia is a nice test but there are question marks over his different opponent's form.

I am on board. His performance at this age is staggering - he destroyed everyone the last two days - and he is not riding against farmers.

 

[saunaking]

After the last two years of misery, I'm looking forward to a July with a new king while the old one farms monuments

 

[Extinction]

People are overreacting if they think he's close to Pogacar now.

I think you really have to consider the performances of the last two days and ask youself, how much would Pog have done better? It's difficult to imagine Pog, simply because Pog, would have blown Seixas out of the water, the way the latter did everyone else here in Itzulia thus far. This would mean the same time gaps Paul gave the competition in the opening TT and then on the first mountain stage, Pogacar would have given him. But this is just not realistic, at least I don't think it is. Consequently, one would conclude Paul's level is indeed close to Pogacar's in a theoretical framework for the moment. Forget about Strade Bianche. That's history now and, in any case, Seixas was second at one minute against a Pog who was tackling the first of a serious of big races he was aiming to win, MSR, Flanders and Roubaix next. By contrast, Paul's first truely big objective is Liege, which means only now he is really starting to fire rev up his engine. Granted Liege will let us know the true situation.

 

[saunaking]

People are overreacting if they think he's close to Pogacar now.

it wasnt godzilla who killed goliath