Re:
RedheadDane said:
Now you're saying Too thin to be a GC contender, previously you were saying Too thin to be a climber. There's a difference, mainly in the sense that you don't have to be a climber to be a GC contender.
Though, the 2015 Vuelta might be a bad example; didn't he break his collarbone, or wrist, or something? That's hardly got anything to do with his weight...
And once more, I do agree that he's making a mistake in thinking he could/should still be a GT rider.
If I did...that was a communication fault on my behalf.
How could I logically claim, that Tejay could win the Tour of California, where they climb up to Big Bear pass, which is 2000m in elevation, without him being a decent climber? It's always meant, on my behalf, to be a claim about 'relativity' when contrasted with the competition at that exact point in time of a race. With Tejay, I am referring to the end of a grand tour and being a general classification rider.
I have been stating, he should put weight on, add MORE power, see how fast he can climb at 5kg heavier and then go for the stage races, that are 1 week long.
He finished in about 5th place overall at Romandie. Porte won. That finished a month ago. He beat the racer who is currently 5th on GC at that race without much hassle.
Tejay can climb up there with everyone in a GT for the first week. But when it gets tough, when the fatigue kicks in, his body HAS been cracking. For crying out loud, that's what I meant!
Do you, for example, believe he could have been with the Nibali and Quintana group yesterday on stage 19? Also consider to do so requires not being dropped on the previous stages.
He beats some of those riders OVER the course of 1 week climbing. But when it gets to the second and third week in a grand tour, that dynamic, that positioning reverses. They keep going and don't fatigue fast. Tejay however does.
So he can climb. He should put some weight on, get his power up, become a stronger time triallist and win shorter races. But in no way, shape or form, without becoming Horner part 2, is he going to be a GC rider. That means, he won't be climbing day in, day out, in the front 20 riders on GC without losing time.
The last time he actually did was 2014 and I said then, if he didn't address the major time loses he dropped to Pinto, Valverde and Bardet, he'd never go higher than he did. Tejay has GOTTEN WORSE since then climbing in the FINAL WEEK of a Grand Tour.
That comes down not to watt/kg...it comes down to energy. Too thin when his bodies glucose supply runs short and his lower body fat % means his krebs cycle switches fuel sources. That's why he is TOO THIN. It's got nothing to do with power, but when his energy pathways switch from glucose (using his food and mostly carbs) to having to rely on body fat stores, because he is fatigued at that longer duration of racing (2 weeks onwards in a GT vs 1 week stage races) he for some reason, doesn't react as he once did. Tejay knew this. He actually did what he thought he should do to compete and it doesn't work physically for him. (Edit: I said this yesterday when referencing velonews and the interview he gave post Romandie. He said he probably gets too thin...and nobody on this forum noticed!).
Nothing wrong with that. There is something wrong with maintaining that level of stubbornness and expecting to compete with the big boys on GC (note my pun about their weight)

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His body is naturally too far below HIS own homeostasis when the racing really becomes hard in a GT
Dumoulin for example, is not. Thus he keeps up. Pinot is not. Nibali is not. Zakarin is not. Tejay beats many of these blokes at shorter stage races...or is close to them. Why? Because at that level of racing, he is not below his bodies OWN PERSONAL level of homeostasis, meaning it can keep up energy supply. Glucose is probably enough for him at that intensity. But a GT does require body fat stores to keep going.
I've not changed my claim once...you probably didn't understand my expression. I've been consistent with what I know is wrong with Tejay.
Anyway...I have some riders to go laugh at tonight. Enjoy the stage!