One thing to expect it... harder to deliver, but he did that so it is all good so far.Ya, then again he is only 30 points ahead of last year so this should perhaps be expected.
One thing to expect it... harder to deliver, but he did that so it is all good so far.Ya, then again he is only 30 points ahead of last year so this should perhaps be expected.
He has won the road race three years in a row now though, and the ITT for a 2nd time. Not sure what it says about the nation when a rider can win the RR three times in a row at such a highly ranked nation. My guess is that it has a lot to do with the time of year when the competition is held and that many riders are still in the midst of off-season training and are not planning on being in shape until later in the year while others are getting in shape for TDU etc.One thing to expect it,.. harder to deliver, but he did that so it is all good so far.
Neither here or there imo, for this game every point counts. He is off to a good start. We will see what happens in TDU and onwards, but he has set himself up to score a decent profit if he can have a good season.He has won the road race three years in a row now though, and the ITT for a 2nd time. Not sure what it says about the nation when a rider can win the RR three times in a row at such a highly ranked nation. My guess is that it has a lot to do with the time of year when the competition is held and that many riders are still in the midst of off-season training and are not planning on being in shape until later in the year while others are getting in shape for TDU etc.
Same - I expect a strong year from Moscon. Moreover, the depth of SQS' classic squad is not what it was before, so he will get quite some opportunities to score some big points.I thought Moscon would be picked a lot more because of his price and the team he ended up signing for. Mostly the latter for me. SQS is one of few teams that might bring him back to a good level again.
32 picks is "only" around 1/3 of the teams. I thought he would be on 60% of the teams at least.
One of the first riders I picked, with Quintana, who were never in danger of coming off.
Yup, he should have some opportunities there and say what you will about Lefevre but he is probably one guy that can put the fire back in Moscon. It is a better team and probably a better environment than the Astana team. It is worth a shot at his price.Same - I expect a strong year from Moscon. Moreover, the depth of SQS' classic squad is not what it was before, so he will get quite some opportunities to score some big points.
Word is that he was flying at the first training camp.![]()
2023: Broke his collarbone in TDU, which ruined the spring once again. For some reason Astana thought it would be good to send him to both the Giro and the Tour. He ended up doing nothing.
Will be almost in profit after TDU and maybe in profit after Cadel Evans raceYa, then again he is only 30 points ahead of last year so this should perhaps be expected.
I would say "could be", just to be safe.Will be almost in profit after TDU and maybe in profit after Cadel Evans race
Year | Winner | CQ-points that season | Change from previous year |
2023 | Plapp | 341 | -100 |
2022 | Plapp | 441 | 344 |
2021 | Cam Meyer | 155 | 35 |
2020 | Cam Meyer | 120 | -5 |
2019 | Michael Freiberg | 137 | 64 |
2018 | Alex Edmonson | 154 | -10 |
2017 | Miles Scotson | 195 | 153 |
2016 | Back Jobridge | 181 | 26 |
2015 | Heinrich Haussler | 412 | 175 |
2014 | Simon Gerrans | 1736 | 1225 |
I think you have to look at each rider individually though and what their potential is.So for the past 10 season, having the Aussie RR-winner was amazing once (Gerro) and good once (Plapp '22), but in general not something which sets a team on a winning course:
Year Winner CQ-points that season Change from previous year 2023 Plapp 341 -100 2022 Plapp 441 344 2021 Cam Meyer 155 35 2020 Cam Meyer 120 -5 2019 Michael Freiberg 137 64 2018 Alex Edmonson 154 -10 2017 Miles Scotson 195 153 2016 Back Jobridge 181 26 2015 Heinrich Haussler 412 175 2014 Simon Gerrans 1736 1225
True, but I still think you can fairly infer that winning the Aussie Nats RR is not a sign that said rider will perform better than the preceeding season.I think you have to look at each rider individually though and what their potential is.
Nobody has said that though. Just that it is a good start for this individual rider. Whatever happens, happens.True, but I still think you can fairly infer that winning the Aussie Nats RR is not a sign that said rider will perform better than the preceeding season.
Yes, and the numbers show that it usually tails off after that.Nobody has said that though. Just that it is a good start for this individual rider.
Well, that was my prediction last yearWill be almost in profit after TDU and maybe in profit after Cadel Evans race
Sure, he wont score much then.Yes, and the numbers show that it usually tails off after that.
You got it wrong and i will make it right!Well, that was my prediction last year![]()
List of winners are underwhelming though, great ones is the only great riders on this listSo for the past 10 season, having the Aussie RR-winner was amazing once (Gerro) and great once (Plapp '22), but in general not something which sets a team on a winning course:
Year Winner CQ-points that season Change from previous year 2023 Plapp 341 -100 2022 Plapp 441 344 2021 Cam Meyer 155 35 2020 Cam Meyer 120 -5 2019 Michael Freiberg 137 64 2018 Alex Edmonson 154 -10 2017 Miles Scotson 195 153 2016 Back Jobridge 181 26 2015 Heinrich Haussler 412 175 2014 Simon Gerrans 1736 1225
Yup, he should have some opportunities there and say what you will about Lefevre but he is probably one guy that can put the fire back in Moscon. It is a better team and probably a better environment than the Astana team. It is worth a shot at his price.
He came close to winning PR in 2021.
2022: He was sick during the spring and never came into form.
2023: Broke his collarbone in TDU, which ruined the spring once again. For some reason Astana thought it would be good to send him to both the Giro and the Tour. He ended up doing nothing.
Thats good news if true. A good spring and he should probably have a shot at making the squad for Italy in the Olympics. It would be a race that could suit him, if he is back in great shape.
You guys are really starting to make me regret not sticking with Moscon for the fourth year in a row ...I think the "for some reason" was clearly that they really went allin for Cavendish last year on Astana and Moscon was the best guy on the team to protect him, and he also did this very well with Cavendish praising his work. But of course that role/program meant he did not score much.
But for sure Quick Step has plenty others for such roles and will want to use him primaraly in classics and if he avoids bad luck in the spring like in 2022 and 2023 he should for sure become a quite good pick.
Interesting approach. I would perhaps weight the price of the riders still a bit more. For example I would say that the performance of Ayuso (1023 points, 39 picks) will be way more important than del Toro (124 points, 47 picks). But in the ranking they are just one place away from each other.. But in general I like your idea..For fun, I tried calculating which riders are the most decisive in the game. I looked at their price compared to how many times they were picked. My thought proces was that the closer the rider is to "cut the field in half" the more important he is. We're 94 players, so for instance a rider picked 44 times is more important than someone picked 69 times (44 is closer to 47 which is half of 94). This might be methodically unsound, but it's the best I could come up with while drinking my morning coffee before workI'm sure there are better ways of calculating this, so if someone can come up with another - or better - way of measuring it, I'd be very interested in seeing it. I actually think I did this in a previous year and someone corrected my method then, but I don't remember when, who or why, haha. Feel free to criticize it though
Here's the top 20 most important riders according to this method:
1. Girmay
2. Hayter
3. Ayuso
4. Del Toro
5. Uijtdebroeks
6. Bernal
7. Plapp
8. Van Aert
9. Rodriguez
10. Demare
11. Sheffield
12. Turner
13. Carapaz
14. Mas
15. Pidcock
16. Lamperti
17. Martinez
18. Hart
19. Johannessen
20. Staune-Mittet
Tobias, yes 😊 Also, Rodriguez is Carlos.