The Olympic Individual TT 2016. Rio de Janeiro. 54,6km

[Atwood]

1) Tom Dumoulin
fingers crossed!

 

[This Charming Man]

Dumolin, 3rd, Alaphillipe 2nd, Cacellera 1st Froomre 6th Martin 4th

 

[del1962]

Why are people hyping Alaphillipe up, what has he ever done in any time trial of any decent length

 

[Hugo Koblet]

I think Dumoulin will win this pretty convincingly. He's absolutely the best time trialist, and I don't think he'll be hampered much by his injury.

 

[Brullnux]

Re:

Right so I hope Roglic wins because then 7 of my friends have to jump in a nearby river with a tutu and a viking helmet.
If he finishes outside the top 15 I have to eat some fish that's 2 years expired.
So... VAMOS ROGLA!!

I am 100% supporting Roglic for you now

 

[pablopaul]

Tough one to call. Haven't got total confidence in either Dumoulin or Froome at the moment. Sitting on the fence here but wouldn't be surprised if they finish 1-2 or both off the podium. Put a gun to my head and I'll say Dumoulin won't be hampered too much by his injury and he wins by 30+ seconds.

Perhaps Kiry for the upset? Good recent record going 50km plus including wins at the Giro and the Worlds last year.

 

[PremierAndrew]

How do the start times work? Surely Kiri should be last off as the world champion?

 

[barmaher]

I keep on changing my mind on this one.

I can visualise wins by a lot of the major contenders. Froome and Dumoulin are obvious favourites, but there are reasons to believe they may not be in optimal shape. At their best, both Tony Martin and Fabian Cancellara would be licking their chops at this race. They aren't at their best clearly, but there are reasons to believe they are not too far off.

I think Rohan Dennis is a very interesting one. I don't know how high his ceiling is as an ITT rider. Chances are that he will never be as good as Martin, Dumoulin.....but if he is in tip-top shape, he probably won't be far off gold if my suspicions about the levels of the favourites is true.

Izaguirre, Oliveira, Roglic, Kyrienka, even Phinney....these guys have reasonable podium prospects.

I don't think I have ever been this excited by a time trial.

Feels weird.

 

[pablopaul]

Re:

How do the start times work? Surely Kiri should be last off as the world champion?

Froome starts last because GB are defending champs I assume.

 

[StryderHells]

Re:

I think Rohan Dennis is a very interesting one. I don't know how high his ceiling is as an ITT rider. Chances are that he will never be as good as Martin, Dumoulin.....but if he is in tip-top shape, he probably won't be far off gold if my suspicions about the levels of the favourites is true.

Dennis is yet to show he can compete for the win in longer ITT's, maybe this will change as he matures as he clearly has a big engine and a good position on a TT bike so it will be interesting to see if he can podium here.

I'm tossing up between Dumoulin or Kyrienka for the win, if Dumoulin hadn't had the injury concerns he would win this by at least 1 minute

 

[pastronef]

Re: Re:

How do the start times work? Surely Kiri should be last off as the world champion?

Froome starts last because GB are defending champs I assume.

so Tony Martin should start 2nd last (got silver in London)

I asked if it depends by Uci points but it wasnt sure

 

[samhocking]

I assume start times are based on finishing times in previous races.

 

[TMP402]

Re: Re:

How do the start times work? Surely Kiri should be last off as the world champion?

Froome starts last because GB are defending champs I assume.

so Tony Martin should start 2nd last (got silver in London)

I asked if it depends by Uci points but it wasnt sure

Not unlike which teams get which numbers at GTs, sometimes a pattern can only be explained for the last to go, and every other rider's position is random.

 

[GenericBoonenFan]

Re: Re:

Right so I hope Roglic wins because then 7 of my friends have to jump in a nearby river with a tutu and a viking helmet.
If he finishes outside the top 15 I have to eat some fish that's 2 years expired.
So... VAMOS ROGLA!!

Ah, Belgium, the only country in the world where you'll find seven people prepared to jump in a river for a time trial.

In all fairness it were 7 drunk people

I think we were talking earlier about good and bad reasons to cheer for a rider. Gotta admit 7 drunk people jumping into a river with in a tutu and viking helmet is the best reason I've heard in a very long time. We'll all be waiting for photographic evidence of the act in case Roglic wins

I doubt they would allow pictures

 

[TMP402]

Heavy rain on the course at the moment.

 

[ThePirate81]

Early starters like Roglic and Castroviejo will be benefited by the rain? It looks like rain will be heavier for the last riders

 

[samhocking]

Someone get that UCI official a waterproof!

 

[capuldemetal]

that descent on the wet!!!! it will be like walking on thin ice!

 

[ThePirate81]

Dumoulin will struggle on that descent for sure

 

[TMobile41]

Prepare for a surprise winnner. I think the weather could have a heavy influence on the outcome....

 

[ThePirate81]

Izaguirre on the podium?

 

[Thepirateisgood]

Re: Re:

BBC have just reported that Geraint Thomas has been handed a place in The TT

Pete

Interesting that, while he wasn't his best during the tour, Thomas is clearly in really good shape judging by his London/ORR performances, long shot at a medal if his injuries aren't bad, but still a shot.

It's a shame they didn't know this way in advance really, would've been interesting to see the hour record holder on the road one last time, i'm sure he would've jumped at the opportunity to have a crack at Froome given he is in Rio anyway.

I've heard about Thomas riding TT during TdF I think in daily broadcasts. Think it was Brailsford or some other admin at Sky in an interview.

 

[Jungle Cycle]

Van Dijk's little fall was ridiculous... i guess just a distraction.. first girls doing avg 38km/h... 47min
not too wet and getting better

 

[PremierAndrew]

Wet course hardly ideal for someone with a dodgy wrist

 

[Thepirateisgood]

Re: Re:

I read through this thread real quick, and noone mention the downhills anything as I could see..

What's up with those? If the descents are the same as in RR after ascents, then some contenders should be excluded altogether - like Martin especially. I always liked Martin, but he became bit of a pussy lately.

If Dumolain is hindered by wrist - Froome.
If not, Dumolain, by a good margin.

Or, is there one crazy guy downhill at TT-bikes who can just kill it by that (No idea, Ion, Cancellara maybe?).

Really, I wonder if the downhills can be a big factor here as in RR?

If it's raining, he'll...can you neutralise a TT?

Aha, the good old neutralize joke. Good one.
He's an excellent descender is what I mean, so is Izagirre.

Judging from the women now, it can well be lost or won downhill this race in these conditions.

I just voted for Kiry, not sure why but I had a feeling.