Trying to game these scenarios out with pogi in the mix. For Flanders I’m not sure remco can stay with pog’s accelerations. For msr, this might also be the case. But then remco brings back the chasers and at least breaks the wind around the followers kneecaps to do so.
He's not bad on cobbles but it's not exactly his forte, and he is (ideally) also a bit lighter than Pog, so in case it rains that could be an issue. Otherwise, it doesn't have to be a problem per se. I don't think Pog will go with an 80k solo in Flanders, so he will likely again wait for the final Oude Kwaremont, and i don't think he will be able to drop Evenepoel for it to be impossible for Evenepoel to close it on the flat. The problem will be dropping Pog or outsprinting him, in case he wants to win. If Pog's ego takes over instead of his brain, him dropping Evenepoel and trying to stay away on the flat, might actually play into Evenepoel's hand if he leaves him dangling for a while and only slowly closes the gap. Maybe then he has a chance in the sprint.
I can't see him drop Pogacar on the climbs, so his only other option i think would be to go from far.
At MSR... things have changed a lot since 2019-2020. Back then i said Evenepoel would certainly win it. But as we saw this year, even an all-star team of UAE couldn't break the peloton before the Poggio. So Evenepoel going solo seems doomed. On the Poggio he won't be able to create a gap or not enough to hold it downhill. His only option is probably sneaking away after the Poggio with nobody wanting to chase him and killing his own chances. Only way that is going to happen is in case no domestiques survive imho. But i think if he gets a 20m gap there, nobody is going to reel him back.