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Tour de France 2024 - The battle of the big 4

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Think that's 2015? Stage 10 was the angriest I've ever seen the collective internet cycling community, at least alongside chaingate.

Tour over, Porte laughing as he went past Quintana, Contador/Nibali losing minutes and the birth of Geriant Thomas; Cobbled specialist come climber.

Sean Kelly asked for his thoughts after the stage, pauses for about 10 seconds and goes 'Well....... Unbelievable.'

They should use that climb again, a bloodbath.
That's from 2016. Before stage 1, because Contador doesn't look like a damn mummy yet. Also Nibali doesn't have national champions jersey, though it's hard to spot the difference.

If I were Nibali and I looked at the Italian jersey they gave Aru I'd be salty for the rest of my life.
 
I make a bold prediction that Vingegaard will be the only one of these four who finishes on the podium in 2024 Tour de France.
Pogacar will not be at his best due to his calendar.
Roglic will not be as good at Bora anymore.
Evenepoel will crack on one of the mountain stages like he usually does in hard races.
Too bad CN doesn’t have a betting function built in. I would gladly wager some big $ with you that at least 1 of those 3 will be on the final Tour podium ;)
 
Remco is preparing peak form for July. He will impress girls and smash Skeletor even before Grand Depart!

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I make a bold prediction that Vingegaard will be the only one of these four who finishes on the podium in 2024 Tour de France.
Pogacar will not be at his best due to his calendar.
Roglic will not be as good at Bora anymore.
Evenepoel will crack on one of the mountain stages like he usually does in hard races.
If Pog is not on the podium at the Tour, I will personally go to Denmark and sell fish for a month at the fish market where the fisherman started his career
 
I am always hopeful, but still a realist. A lighter Giro climbing parcours and (on paper) weak competition. That means Pog might not beat himself up at the Giro even if he wins it. Arrives at the TdF to make Vingo hurt but it won’t be enough to snare the double. Vingegaard will gradually widen his winning margin in the 3rd week to make it a hat trick of TdF titles comfortably in the end.

1. Vingegaard
2. Pogacar
3. Remco
4. Roglic
5. Hindley
 
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So I think barring mishap
1st . Vingegaard..by sometime

And then I think we will see a battle for 2nd between Pogacar and Roglic

After that I think there are several riders who can get a top 5 inc any other rider from Jumbo, UAE and Boro

I think Remco was being somewhat predictive the other day when he said he felt like Mark Cavendish and was using the phone thing ...very Cav
Its possible he can do a top 10/5 but maybe winning stages is his best strike out for glory ....he is young enough to win as many as Cav.
I don't see him staying with the others on the long climbs and I cant see him riding around somewhere in the top 10
 
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Who does the route suit the best?
Vingo.

How do the squads stack up?
Visma has a really strong team even without wva

How will the race programmes impact the Tour?
Pogi has the harshest path

Conclusion….
1. Pogi! Faith in @mou!!
2. Vingo (pray he stays on his bike for a decisive loss!)
3. Gall
4. CRod
5. Rog
6. Remco (P-N is about as stupid as watching someone lose at a finish line because celebrating too early). The dude has made a habit out of losing
 
The rational part of me concurs with previous posters that:
  1. This will not be a 4-way battle. Someone will crash our, not start, get sick, or not have the legs.
  2. This is Vingegaard’s to lose. He is the overwhelming favorite. I know Pogacar is unreal, but he’s been beaten two years in a row, and while you can explain away 2023, 2022 is a little tougher. And then of course there’s the fact that Vingegaard was better in week 3 of 2021, too. And he’s better early season than ever. And Pogi is doing the Giro.
  3. My prediction?
    1. Vingegaard
    2. Roglic
    3. Pogacar (after starting strong as first / second strongest rider im the race then falling apart in third week)
    4. Remco
    5. Ayuso
    6. Adam Yates
    7. Hindley
    8. Vlasov
However, my heart wants the big 4 to be competitive and free of mishap and for Roglic to triumph.
 
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The rational part of me concurs with previous posters that:
  1. This will not be a 4-way battle. Someone will crash our, not start, get sick, or not have the legs.
  2. This is Vingegaard’s to lose. He is the overwhelming favorite. I know Pogacar is unreal, but he’s been beaten two years in a row, and while you can explain away 2023, 2022 is a little tougher. And then of course there’s the fact that Vingegaard was better in week 3 of 2021, too. And he’s better early season than ever. And Pogi is doing the Giro.
  3. My prediction?
    1. Vingegaard
    2. Roglic
    3. Pogacar (after starting strong as first / second strongest rider im the race then falling apart in third week)
    4. Remco
    5. Ayuso
    6. Adam Yates
    7. Hindley
    8. Vlasov
However, my heart wants the big 4 to be competitive and free of mishap and for Roglic to triumph.
I also give it 50% chances that Roglic or Remco fails spectacularly. I think the odds that one of Pogacar, Remco, or Roglic misses big are extremely high, unfortunately. I do not see Vingegaard missing badly, however, unless he crashes or gets sick. I could see him losing, but not by blowing up spectacularly.
 
I think Jonas is nr. 1 and it won't be even close. Pog will fade in second part of the race because of Giro.
Remco likes stage victories more then GC battle so he'll explode somewhere and then go stage hunting.
I don't think Rog has anything more then 3rd place in his legs. I'll root my heart out for him, but that means pain...a lot of pain.
 
In reality I think this is or could be mostly a two horse battle. I really can't see Remco or Roglic winning this unless something happens to both Vingo and Pog. The latter will of course be more uncertain due to his Giro participation, but I still consider him as a bigger favorite than Remco and Roglic.
 
Remco likes stage victories more then GC battle so he'll explode somewhere and then go stage hunting.
Remco will explode because he's not a GT specialist, barring GTs with Mickey Mouse routes. He can handle medium mountains and the occasional HC, but not back to back hard mountain stages. I'm confident I will be proven right. The 2024 Tour is a real GT.

Primoz needs to be at his 2023 best to have a shot at the podium. Stages 19 through 21 will expose those who are past their prime.