Stage 6 - Friday, July 9 2010, Montargis - Gueugnon, Distance 225 km
Time for the next stage. This one is pretty long.
Time for the next stage. This one is pretty long.
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Cobblestones said:EBH getting third.
The Hitch said:day before the alps. Are columbia willing to put in the energy needed to get a breakaway back? I think break will stay away. If not, Cav.
180mmCrank said:It's not just HTC that will want a chance at the stage - Lampre, Cervelo and Garmin... none of them have much going on for GC - they need to win stages. So we won't see Shack, Sky, Astana, BMC ec hammering off the front (unless there is a cross wind!)
Unless I'm missing something
Sky has way too many potent stage winners to waste on Wiggins. Team management would be stupid to corral Lovkvist, Boasson-Hagen and Thomas for a fantasy.180mmCrank said:It's not just HTC that will want a chance at the stage - Lampre, Cervelo and Garmin... none of them have much going on for GC - they need to win stages. So we won't see Shack, Sky, Astana, BMC ec hammering off the front...
The Hitch said:Im repeating largely what Stephen Roche said on Eurosport. And the turns at the front today were something like 80% columbia 20% everyone else. (again its what was said and shown on eurosport, though they might be wrong).
So it seems that Htc were the ones doing most of the chasing with other teams more reluctant to contributeand im suggesting that they may be a bit tired + might want to conserve a bit of energy for rogers.
Cervelo have no intention of contributing since it suits them for a breakaway to take potential cavendish points.
Garmin did very little work at the front today and farrar might still not be in top form so why would they treat stage 6 any differently
Lampre might contribute, but arent that strong and with their 2 wins already, why would they put more work in for 6 than they did for 5.
Also if they waste too much energy they might find it more painful to meet the time requirments in the alps (remember cav cursing at ricco that ricco was, um , going to fast so cav had to waste more energy in getting to the finish in the required time).
and the course is hilly ish so will take more effort to catch the break.
Rooboy said:My wildcard tip stage 6 is Arashiro.
Yes I'm a little biased as I have some Japanese connections (and the fact that he deliberately threw me his bidon last year coming back down after doing Andorra Arcalis last year - i might have cheered for him a bit on the way up ).
I know it sounds far fetched but here's my reasoning:
1. a breakaway has a good chance tomorrow as the main GC teams will(?) be saving themselves for the alps (and Cav's bunch may be a little tired after last two days).
2. Arashiro publicly announced he was aiming to be in the breakaway on stage 5 - didn't happen and Japanese honour will make him more determined
3. if he is in the breakaway and it succeeds he's a half decent sprinter
4. I just really want it to happen just to see the japanese go crazy about tdf.
Before you tear me down, I did say it was a wildcard. If you look at the profile it's a lot bumpier than what your first impressions may be so a breakaway has a good chance if they get the right mix. Anyway here's hoping.
P.S. first post - woohoo. Long time lurker and really wanted to post some stuff over last few days but unfortunately my opinions were a little strong for a first post
turtlesoup said:If the break wins im going with Lars BOOM. If a sprint ( think its uphill finish so decision based on that) then going with Ciolek, Cav, Freire
Scirea said:Finish isn't uphill. If anything it's a slight downhill with a small bump for 400m.
Roland Rat said:Nic Roche from a break.
Hope it's a boring one as I'm at Silverstone all day. Hence being awake at 5 'o' bloody clock.
The Hitch said:Im repeating largely what Stephen Roche said on Eurosport. And the turns at the front today were something like 80% columbia 20% everyone else. (again its what was said and shown on eurosport, though they might be wrong).
So it seems that Htc were the ones doing most of the chasing with other teams more reluctant to contributeand im suggesting that they may be a bit tired + might want to conserve a bit of energy for rogers.
Cervelo have no intention of contributing since it suits them for a breakaway to take potential cavendish points.
Garmin did very little work at the front today and farrar might still not be in top form so why would they treat stage 6 any differently
Lampre might contribute, but arent that strong and with their 2 wins already, why would they put more work in for 6 than they did for 5.
Also if they waste too much energy they might find it more painful to meet the time requirments in the alps (remember cav cursing at ricco that ricco was, um , going to fast so cav had to waste more energy in getting to the finish in the required time).
and the course is hilly ish so will take more effort to catch the break.