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Tour of Guangxi 2024 (Oct. 15 - Oct. 20)

Come one come all to the most exciting race on the calendar, the start list is actually pretty good given the strictly road riders are about to go into hibernation. Some, like Froome, however, are about to come out of hibernation! 🤣


And some maps and credit to cyclinguptodate.com for the write-ups because I know exactly squat about this part of the world and this race:

Stage 1: Fangchenggang - Fangchenggang, 149.3 kilometers



The opening stage will take the riders on a circuit around the town of Gangchenggang. It is a day for the sprinters, but stage 1 will already be one with some explosive sections where riders will understand where their form stands - at this time of year this will be over a very wide spectrum.

Three hilltops will be climbed in the final 30 kilometers, the last of which comes with 16 kilometers to go (1Km at 6.7%). Not brutal, but attacks may come. There are over 10 flat kilometers towards the finish then however and it is in no way a technical finale.


Stage 2: Chongzuo - Jingxi, 176.7 kilometers



Stage 2 is another day for the sprinters but... Again with an interesting obstacle. This time around a slightly longer climb which finishes with 31 kilometers to go, this one is around 7 kilometers long at 4%, not too hard but for some sprinters it may cause trouble and the real issue is the lack of any descent afterwards.

Only flat or slightly uphill roads towards the finale in Jingxi. The finale itself will be completely flat however and without featuring any meaningful technical feature.


Stage 3: Jingxi - Bama, 215.7 kilometers





The third day of racing is a bit more open. In reality, taking into consideration the climbing capacity of most modern sprinters, it's safe to say many or most will survive the explosive finale into Bama. But the day features 215 kilometers of racing and the roller-coaster finale may prove to be quite difficult to control if the race explodes.

There are a few rolling climbs but the most important will be a 1.4-kilometer long ascent at 7.4% that comes with 35 kilometers to go. I reckon it's hard enough for serious attacks and right after comes a descent which has another small climb in the middle. It's possible to create and extend a gap here whilst there is another small ascent that summits with only 13 kilometers to go.

Here it is possible to hold off the peloton as we have got twisty roads without many straight sections and its not too flat either. The final kilometer, if a sprint is to happen, should also see a ferocious leadout battle as we've got several corners.


Stage 4: Bama - Jinchengjiang, 177.7 kilometers




Stage 4 will feature some longer climbs, but will we see a sprint again deciding the day? Likely, because the main difficulties of the day come early on - although this could stimulate a dangerous breakaway to be formed.

The last difficulty climb is 3.8 kilometers long at 6%, but it comes with 35.5 kilometers to go. Damage can be done but there is still time to recover organization at this point. There will be a bonified uphill sprint with only 12 kilometers to go which could stir things up; but the final heading into Jinchengjiang is flat and not difficult to put a chase on.


Stage 5: Yizhou - Nongla Scenic Spot, 166.3 kilometers



The queen stage. There is absolutely nothing complex on this day, it's an almost pan-flat stage on the fifth day of racing in China which then features an explosive finale that has seen in the past riders crawling over the finish line... Perhaps the most underrated steep climb in the World Tour calendar.

After 160 kilometers of racing the riders will get to the foot of the climb to the Nongla Scenic Spot. The ascent is 4.4 kilometers long and averages around 7%. Not too hard but it's a climb split into two, starting and finishing steep, with a false-flat section in the middle. The final kilometer however is very steep featuring ramps of over 10% all the way to the finish line, an anaerobic effort that perhaps equally suits the puncheurs and climbers.


Stage 6: Nanning - Nanning, 133.4 kilometers




The final day of the race is already a familiar one, taking place in the city of Nanning. This is an interesting day of racing, on paper seemingly a regular day for the sprinters but the profile doesn't quite show how steep the climb is.

Five lapses of a circuit on a short day of racing, only 133 kilometers. In each lap, a steep 1.4-kilometer long climb will be ridden and it averages over 11% average gradient. It's possible to do serious damage here and it comes with 19 kilometers to go. The GC riders will be on their toes, and it's hard to know whether this will end up in a reduced bunch sprint, GC day or anything in between.
 
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Given previous iterations, the course is actually pretty reasonable.

I'll miss the scenery around Guilin, though.

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Also wish the Longji Scenic Area north of Guilin would have got involved, could have made for a better and more varied race. I suspect however that much like January-February short stage races, they simply aren't going to attract as good a field if they make the race really hard, so having smaller obstacles but placing them well is the way to go (just look at the improvement in the Tour Down Under since the late-2000s days of five sprints and a reduced sprint after Old Willunga Hill), realistically most of these stages ought to end up a sprint but at least they've given the baroudeurs some opportunities.

For a lot of races, I'd look at that parcours and deliver a hearty "meh", but for the Tour of Guangxi it's actually alright.
 
But, but, this one has all the pretty maps! Adding maps to a thread is like decorating your home with some new curtains or something...

I suppose Armchair Cyclist could always merge the threads for practicality's sake.
Super cool that an entire year in, you find this race to be the best, or one of the best of the year!! Now that's the upbeat optimism cycling craves!! Good start list for sure.
I am personally bummed out that with a full all out catfight at Ineos, that Q36 and Tudor won't be able to show something end of year!!
I think with the exception of stage 4 the African puzzle will solve itself, don't see Froome not getting dropped daily w lots of power courses vs climbing..Will he wear a Sky kit? Rim brakes..?

And just so I don't come off totally anti Ineos, I am taking Narvaez for a win..maybe more in GC
 
Being time-wise China is 16 hours ahead to where I live (wha?) I'm posting the start times and approximate finishing times for CET, not sure what the TV coverage will be like for you guys in Europe.

Estimated start and finish times for each stage:

Stage 1: 05:15 - 08:34CET
Stage 2: 05:15 - 08:34CET
Stage 3: 04:20-09:25CET
Stage 4: 05:13 - 09:25CET
Stage 5: 05:18 - 09:25CET
Stage 6: 08:29 - 11:29CET

I'll have to calculate what this means in terms of PDT (my time zone), watching a non-American race during dinner time is a real treat here in the US!
 
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