I think his only chance is if Godzilla suddenly appears out of nowhere before the riders get there & destroys the summit of the Angliru for reasons.
I feel Vingegaard is going to smash this climb.
My only 'hope' is Rog has been saving himself a little for today (like he did for Monte Lussari). It's a disgusting climb & based on what happened last time, it's barely even 'bike racing'. It's just survival.
Another problem today is line of sight amongst the spectators, i.e. 3 years ago the climb was off limits for the public during Covid, so dropped riders could still see the guys 20 seconds (& probably about barely 50 meters) up the road. Today, it'll be like it was when Chris Horner demolished Nibali on the Angliru, i.e. once you lose the wheel, there's a sea of spectators + motorcycles blocking the view.