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SeriousSam said:According to the infinite wisdom of the bookies, it's a proper neck on neck race between Fabio and Tom.
If Tom reclaims the red jersey coming out of the ITT, what sort of gap do we consider insurmountable?
chamber34 said:If he does have a all advantage , won't be more than a minute! Other teams especially Astana will attack him like crazy
Aru will win this
Over one minute. But it is unlikely, unless Tom will destroy everybody tomorrowSeriousSam said:According to the infinite wisdom of the bookies, it's a proper neck on neck race between Fabio and Tom.
If Tom reclaims the red jersey coming out of the ITT, what sort of gap do we consider insurmountable?
SeriousSam said:According to the infinite wisdom of the bookies, it's a proper neck on neck race between Fabio and Tom.
If Tom reclaims the red jersey coming out of the ITT, what sort of gap do we consider insurmountable?
Miburo said:I don't think dumoulin needs 3 min, i don't expect much from purito too. Aru is the danger guy.
He has very little chance of anything at all on the next two stage, everything relies on Stage 20. Say Aru attacks and TD can't follow, which I don't expect as Aru is very explosive, then it depends on who else is with Aru after the attack which will decide the Vuelta. If Aru is alone then only Dumoulin will chase. Can TD take back 15-20 seconds on a descent/flat at the top? I don't know how good Aru or Dumoulin are at descending, or how technical it is. If NQ follows then Majka will chase. If Purito follows then Aru wins, as Aru will tell Purito he can take the stage win if he works with Aru for the red jersey. I don't really think TD can beat two men like them no matter how bad they are at time trialling. If Valverde follows then no one will chase apart from obviously TD and maybe Majka, but a minute is very unlikely.King Boonen said:Arus to lose now.
Brullnux said:He has very little chance of anything at all on the next two stage, everything relies on Stage 20. Say Aru attacks and TD can't follow, which I don't expect as Aru is very explosive, then it depends on who else is with Aru after the attack which will decide the Vuelta. If Aru is alone then only Dumoulin will chase. Can TD take back 15-20 seconds on a descent/flat at the top? I don't know how good Aru or Dumoulin are at descending, or how technical it is. If NQ follows then Majka will chase. If Purito follows then Aru wins, as Aru will tell Purito he can take the stage win if he works with Aru for the red jersey. I don't really think TD can beat two men like them no matter how bad they are at time trialling. If Valverde follows then no one will chase apart from obviously TD and maybe Majka, but a minute is very unlikely.King Boonen said:Arus to lose now.
No.barmaher said:What happens if 10-15 GC riders come to the finish line on Saturday to sprint for the win? Say the current top 10 in GC.
Would Aru be able to beat Dumoulin in a sprint and get a top 3 (and bonifications)?
It's only 7kms @ 6%. In order to get something they need to set a hard pace as soon at they hit the rolling terrain and keep it for 100kms. If Aru only gets a few seconds in the descent Tom will TT back to him in the last 6 kms that are almost flat and on an straight open road.King Boonen said:Brullnux said:He has very little chance of anything at all on the next two stage, everything relies on Stage 20. Say Aru attacks and TD can't follow, which I don't expect as Aru is very explosive, then it depends on who else is with Aru after the attack which will decide the Vuelta. If Aru is alone then only Dumoulin will chase. Can TD take back 15-20 seconds on a descent/flat at the top? I don't know how good Aru or Dumoulin are at descending, or how technical it is. If NQ follows then Majka will chase. If Purito follows then Aru wins, as Aru will tell Purito he can take the stage win if he works with Aru for the red jersey. I don't really think TD can beat two men like them no matter how bad they are at time trialling. If Valverde follows then no one will chase apart from obviously TD and maybe Majka, but a minute is very unlikely.King Boonen said:Arus to lose now.
That final 1st cat tomorrow could give Aru everything he needs to take the win.
Aru has to attack in the hardest climb of the day, the second ascent to la Morcuera, and get the 3 seconds of the intermediate sprint at the end of the descent so that we get a tie.barmaher said:What happens if 10-15 GC riders come to the finish line on Saturday to sprint for the win? Say the current top 10 in GC.
Would Aru be able to beat Dumoulin in a sprint and get a top 3 (and bonifications)?
ice&fire said:It's only 7kms @ 6%. In order to get something they need to set a hard pace as soon at they hit the rolling terrain and keep it for 100kms. If Aru only gets a few seconds in the descent Tom will TT back to him in the last 6 kms that are almost flat and on an straight open road.King Boonen said:Brullnux said:He has very little chance of anything at all on the next two stage, everything relies on Stage 20. Say Aru attacks and TD can't follow, which I don't expect as Aru is very explosive, then it depends on who else is with Aru after the attack which will decide the Vuelta. If Aru is alone then only Dumoulin will chase. Can TD take back 15-20 seconds on a descent/flat at the top? I don't know how good Aru or Dumoulin are at descending, or how technical it is. If NQ follows then Majka will chase. If Purito follows then Aru wins, as Aru will tell Purito he can take the stage win if he works with Aru for the red jersey. I don't really think TD can beat two men like them no matter how bad they are at time trialling. If Valverde follows then no one will chase apart from obviously TD and maybe Majka, but a minute is very unlikely.King Boonen said:Arus to lose now.
That final 1st cat tomorrow could give Aru everything he needs to take the win.