Krebs cycle said:
Pre 2009, in short TTs and prologues Wiggins was very clearly one of the best.
Here is a direct link to a post I made in this thread:
http://forum.cyclingnews.com/showpost.php?p=1024777&postcount=624
Here's a direct link to the news article referenced:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2006/jun/04/cycling.news
Brad goes on a camp in Majorca to train specifically for one stage and one stage alone, the 2006 Dauphine prologue:
I spent two weeks in Majorca at a training camp, getting away from the British spring weather. I've had a little team around me, a masseur, a mechanic and some video analysis guys from the English Institute of Sport and it has gone well. The road scene is unpredictable, but like the Paris-Nice race I should be among the favourites.
Look at the specialised team built around one rider, for one stage. This, as far as I am concerned, is Team Sky level support. For this one rider they have:
Masseur
Mechanic
Video analysis guys (plural) from EIS
FOR ONE RIDER.

In Majorca. Training camp.
What sort of training is Brad doing for this very short, 4.1km effort? A virtual "IP on the road?"
In Majorca, we did a lot of work based on that one effort today: out for two kilometres, getting the speed straight up to 56 or 58kph to work on my pace judgment, turning round and going back again. And there was a lot of lactic acid tolerance work, which is horrible - 20 seconds at sprint pace on a rig, 10 seconds rest, 20 seconds again, for three-and-a-half minutes, then 20 minutes rest, then another set. It leaves you totally exhausted with a burning sensation in your legs that can't really be described.
Sounds a lot like AWC (+Tabata) efforts to me. Although I do not have a PhD, it is interesting that this supports what I have said a couple of posts up: Brad's anaerobic system is trained just fine.
In this article, Wiggins, in 2006, mentions he is doing 570-580W for 4-5 miute efforts, and that he is confident of winning that year's prologue of only 4.1km.
I know that I have the ability to win today. I don't feel that there can be anyone who is stronger.
Here is Brad's thought process:
Fact: I did 570W to win the gold medal in Athens, beating every other 4km IPer in the world.
Fact: Today is 4.1km in length.
Fact: I can do 570W now.
Conclusion: Therefore I will win by doing 570W.
But this is based on the
wrong notion that the IP pool of riders mirrors the global pool of riders on both the road and the track, which clearly, blind-freddy-obviously does NOT equal reality. (Even acoggan acknowledged this, however then came back to say that absolute performance matters, which is weird, because absolute performance can not be used to define "the best IP rider in the world". An absolute "4:24" describes a world champion IP time, but only if you compare it to pre 2000. This goes to the argument that Brad is "world class", but we cannot know that until he competes directly against "the world" - ie relative to his peers.)
The fact Brad has missed in his thought process: All the people that can ride a fast 4km IP competed, on the track, in the IP event at Athens.
Here is a description of the course:
A straight road was chosen with a U-turn. It was dead flat without much wind to interfere. "I like a course like that, for sure," Zabriskie commented after winning. "There weren't so many corners. It was just a question of going as fast as you can go. The legs' speed was the most important."
This is describing the perfect pursuiter's course. (Compare this to the out-n-back training he was doing above.) Brad is lauded for his leg speed.
Here are the results:
1 David Zabriskie (USA) Team CSC 4.35.84 (53.509 km/h)
2 George Hincapie (USA) Discovery Channel Pro Cycling Team 0.01.88
3 Stuart O'grady (Aus) Team CSC 0.06.07
4 Sebastian Lang (Ger) Gerolsteiner 0.06.91
5 Joost Posthuma (Ned) Rabobank 0.07.35
6 Stijn Devolder (Bel) Discovery Channel Pro Cycling Team 0.07.40
7 Alejandro Valverde (Spa) Caisse d'Epargne-Illes Balears 0.07.61
8 Vladimir Gusev (Rus) Discovery Channel Pro Cycling Team 0.07.70
9 Floyd Landis (USA) Phonak Hearing Systems 0.08.00
10 Andrey Kashechkin (Kaz) Würth 0.08.19
11 Peter Mazur (Pol) Saunier Duval-Prodir 0.08.50
12 Christophe Moreau (Fra) AG2R Prevoyance 0.08.96
13 Bert Grabsch (Ger) Phonak Hearing Systems 0.09.01
14 Thor Hushovd (Nor) Credit Agricole 0.09.32
15 Alexandre Vinokourov (Kaz) Würth 0.09.62
16 Ryder Hesjedal (Can) Phonak Hearing Systems 0.09.67
17 Oscar Pereiro Sio (Spa) Caisse d'Epargne-Illes Balears 0.10.26
18 Manuel Quinziato (Ita) Liquigas 0.10.37
19 Vincenzo Nibali (Ita) Liquigas 0.10.46
20 Denis Menchov (Rus) Rabobank 0.10.99
21 Bradley Wiggins (GBr) Cofidis, le Credit par Telephone 0.11.02
Just to clarify:
Brad had no significant track results in 2006. He is not distracted by track commitments.
Brad trained in Majorca for this stage alone.
Brad trained with a masseur, mechanic and video analysis tech, all just for him.
Brad is between Olympic Gold medals in the pursuit 2004/2008 and will be pursuit world champion in 2007.
The distance and course are like an out-n-back pursuit: dead flat, no wind, 1 u-turn.
Brad came 21st. His time puts him 4% slower than David Zabriskie. Assuming (pretty darn safely) aerodynamics is the primary limiter for speed here, Brad would have to increase his power by
12% to match Dave Zabriskie's time.
Twelve percent.
The conclusion that I come to with this careful analysis of the unassailable facts and data is this:
Although Brad is an Olympic and World champion in 4km pursuit that is only because people who have the ability to beat him, went to the road to earn some money instead. He won those medals and championships because the pool of talent is very, very shallow. If each of those people finishing ahead of Brad above had trained for and ridden the track, I am very confident Brad would have struggled to make the top 10 in a 4km IP Olympic games or World championships.