Cadel is very good in short, steep finishes. He won Fleche Wallonne in 2010 and podiumed it in 2007.Scarponi said:So Contador feeling good on Random muritios in a 14 years career means the end of the world at the moment ? Cadel best him on one in 2011 so what
That was at Pais Vasco. Who knows how well he will perform there this year?Forever The Best said:
Agreed. Tomorrow is the day of truth for his early season form. 2009 Contador would have struggled to stay with Simon Yates & Henao on a climb like this at the end of an easyish stage. Plus he put time into Ulissi and Barguil, and finished with or very close to Martin, Alaphilippe and Gallopin, who are all more or less specialists on finishes like this.. Not spectacular, but far from a disastrous performance.LaFlorecita said:Just wait until tomorrow to draw conclusions about his current shape... and wait till Pais Vasco to draw conclusions about the TDF.
Mende 2007, Aia 2008, Mende 2010( x2, in both P-N and Tour), Mur de Huy 2010, the one I exampled above.LaFlorecita said:That was at Pais Vasco. Who knows how well he will perform there this year?Forever The Best said:
Aia 2008, Huy 2010, Ezaro 2012, La Mauselaine 2014, last year on Aia was also much better than this.LaFlorecita said:Montée Jalabert is 3x as long as today's hill.
So what is your point? He's less explosive now than he was >3 years ago? Of course he is.
Ahahahaah what? A 2009 contador would have followed henao easily.DFA123 said:Agreed. Tomorrow is the day of truth for his early season form. 2009 Contador would have struggled to stay with Simon Yates & Henao on a climb like this at the end of an easyish stage. Plus he put time into Ulissi and Barguil, and finished with or very close to Martin, Alaphilippe and Gallopin, who are all more or less specialists on finishes like this.. Not spectacular, but far from a disastrous performance.LaFlorecita said:Just wait until tomorrow to draw conclusions about his current shape... and wait till Pais Vasco to draw conclusions about the TDF.
Today wasn't really much like any of those climbs though apart from maybe Huy. The others are all much harder and swing the advantage away from puncheurs towards proper climbers like Contador.Forever The Best said:Aia 2008, Huy 2010, Ezaro 2012, La Mauselaine 2014, last year on Aia was also much better than this.LaFlorecita said:Montée Jalabert is 3x as long as today's hill.
So what is your point? He's less explosive now than he was >3 years ago? Of course he is.
Yes, he is less explosive which is very bad for a rider who accelerates and opens a big gap in such a short time and keeps/increases till the finish.
Erm... You think Henao would have been dropped by thirty riders, including a mini-peloton including David Millar, Sorensen and Seeldraeyers?portugal11 said:Ahahahaah what? A 2009 contador would have followed henao easily.DFA123 said:Agreed. Tomorrow is the day of truth for his early season form. 2009 Contador would have struggled to stay with Simon Yates & Henao on a climb like this at the end of an easyish stage. Plus he put time into Ulissi and Barguil, and finished with or very close to Martin, Alaphilippe and Gallopin, who are all more or less specialists on finishes like this.. Not spectacular, but far from a disastrous performance.LaFlorecita said:Just wait until tomorrow to draw conclusions about his current shape... and wait till Pais Vasco to draw conclusions about the TDF.
Not a fair example. He lost almost 3 minutes that day. Most likely he suffered a hunger knock. Or are we supposed to believe he's stronger right now than he was in 2009?DFA123 said:l
Erm... You think Henao would have been dropped by thirty riders, including a mini-peloton including David Millar, Sorensen and Seeldraeyers?
https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x8o0zn_paris-nice-2009-etape-7_sport
And this was in the season of probably the strongest and most dominant Contador we've ever seen.
Not at all, just suggesting that losing a handful of seconds to a load of specialist puncheurs, is hardly a sign of impending disaster. Considering in the year of probably the best Contador we've ever seen he completely blew up and lost minutes finishing in the same town!LaFlorecita said:Not a fair example. He lost almost 3 minutes that day. Most likely he suffered a hunger knock. Or are we supposed to believe he's stronger right now than he was in 2009?DFA123 said:l
Erm... You think Henao would have been dropped by thirty riders, including a mini-peloton including David Millar, Sorensen and Seeldraeyers?
https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x8o0zn_paris-nice-2009-etape-7_sport
And this was in the season of probably the strongest and most dominant Contador we've ever seen.![]()
In top shape, 2009-style, he probably would have stayed with him or lost a few seconds given how hard the stage was ridden, yes. But not easy by no means.portugal11 said:Ahahahaah what? A 2009 contador would have followed henao easily.DFA123 said:Agreed. Tomorrow is the day of truth for his early season form. 2009 Contador would have struggled to stay with Simon Yates & Henao on a climb like this at the end of an easyish stage. Plus he put time into Ulissi and Barguil, and finished with or very close to Martin, Alaphilippe and Gallopin, who are all more or less specialists on finishes like this.. Not spectacular, but far from a disastrous performance.LaFlorecita said:Just wait until tomorrow to draw conclusions about his current shape... and wait till Pais Vasco to draw conclusions about the TDF.
do you think he could have?Climber123 said:Did he even try at the bottom of the murito? No
Right, got you. We agree in that case.DFA123 said:Not at all, just suggesting that losing a handful of seconds to a load of specialist puncheurs, is hardly a sign of impending disaster. Considering in the year of probably the best Contador we've ever seen he completely blew up and lost minutes finishing in the same town!
Henao, Martin & Alaphilippe are a specialists on this kind of climb. I doubt Froome could stay with them, nor Quintana after a relatively easy stage, so I'm not sure why it matters too much that Contador can't either. If Contador is to win the race he was always going to have to do it in the TT and on the mountain - limiting his losses on these uphill sprint finishes. The disaster this week was losing so much time on a flat stage - which also suggests very little about how he'll go in the Tour.
Even a 2010 contador was able to follow henao.Valv.Piti said:In top shape, 2009-style, he probably would have stayed with him or lost a few seconds given how hard the stage was ridden, yes. But not easy by no means.portugal11 said:Ahahahaah what? A 2009 contador would have followed henao easily.DFA123 said:Agreed. Tomorrow is the day of truth for his early season form. 2009 Contador would have struggled to stay with Simon Yates & Henao on a climb like this at the end of an easyish stage. Plus he put time into Ulissi and Barguil, and finished with or very close to Martin, Alaphilippe and Gallopin, who are all more or less specialists on finishes like this.. Not spectacular, but far from a disastrous performance.LaFlorecita said:Just wait until tomorrow to draw conclusions about his current shape... and wait till Pais Vasco to draw conclusions about the TDF.
More than just this because Froome has evolved as a rider. He needs to stay with Froome even when the sky train has shed off everyone else. He can't lose major time on the first big Froome attack of the Tour. Losing the smallest amount of time makes it so he has to be aggressive and attack from further out. He's got to reverse the role.DFA123 said:Today wasn't really much like any of those climbs though apart from maybe Huy. The others are all much harder and swing the advantage away from puncheurs towards proper climbers like Contador.Forever The Best said:Aia 2008, Huy 2010, Ezaro 2012, La Mauselaine 2014, last year on Aia was also much better than this.LaFlorecita said:Montée Jalabert is 3x as long as today's hill.
So what is your point? He's less explosive now than he was >3 years ago? Of course he is.
Yes, he is less explosive which is very bad for a rider who accelerates and opens a big gap in such a short time and keeps/increases till the finish.
Contador doesn't need to be more explosive than riders like Martin or Henao for his main objectives of the year anyway. He's looking to compete with the likes of Froome and Quintana - to do that he needs to be stronger than them on long climbs and gradually wear them down over consecutive days. You can't really out punch sky, because they'll just let you go, ride tempo and reel you in as a team. The only way he can beat Froome is by staying within touching distance into the third week and hoping that his recovery is superior and he can press home an advantage in the final stages. The days are long gone of facing Evans or Schleck where they would try to follow every hard acceleration and put themselves too deep into the red.
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