Geelong 2010: Elite Men's Road Race 262.7km

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Mar 11, 2009
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Polyarmour said:
They're not chasing the breakways quick enough, only 50 seconds on the last lap. 20mins 42secs now

None of the guys in the break can ride 260km. They'll be brought back with three-four laps to go, at least.
 

davis_123

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May 4, 2010
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Big split there, the group will catch back up but that shows you just how easy its going to be to drop all the sprinters later on, none of them at all would have been in that split.
 
Jul 13, 2009
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davis_123 said:
Big split there, the group will catch back up but that shows you just how easy its going to be to drop all the sprinters later on, none of them at all would have been in that split.

That looks like a fairly decisive split already. Quite a lot of riders will already be left behind by the looks of it
 
Jamsque said:
None of the guys in the break can ride 260km. They'll be brought back with three-four laps to go, at least.
They're not your usual Burkina Fasso riders in the early breakaway. Jackson Rodriguez for example was 51st in this year's Giro. They'll catch them, 90% sure, but they're still playing with fire.
 

davis_123

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May 4, 2010
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Carlo Algatrensig said:
That looks like a fairly decisive split already. Quite a lot of riders will already be left behind by the looks of it

The impetus will go out a bit, quite a few teams left key riders behind I know I only seen O'Grady + Gerrans + one other guy for us so at least 1 of cadel/rogers missed it.
 
Apr 21, 2009
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hrotha said:
They're not your usual Burkina Fasso riders in the early breakaway. Jackson Rodriguez for example was 51st in this year's Giro. They'll catch them, 90% sure, but they're still playing with fire.

right, the point is that the favorites and their supporters will never let this break last, but it will come at the expense of team strength.

This really would support riders like Gilbert, but let's wait and see who survives....
 
Jul 13, 2009
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davis_123 said:
The impetus will go out a bit, quite a few teams left key riders behind I know I only seen O'Grady + Gerrans + one other guy for us so at least 1 of cadel/rogers missed it.

Given that Spain, Belgium and italy are driving it it suggest they have there favoured riders up there
 
Apr 21, 2010
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davis_123 said:
The impetus will go out a bit, quite a few teams left key riders behind I know I only seen O'Grady + Gerrans + one other guy for us so at least 1 of cadel/rogers missed it.

The Aussies in the split are Cooke, O'Grady and Gerrans
 

davis_123

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May 4, 2010
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Carlo Algatrensig said:
Given that Spain, Belgium and italy are driving it it suggest they have there favoured riders up there

Cancellara missed it, Evans could sit on his wheel to get back
 
Sep 25, 2009
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Francois the Postman said:
Damn, I just walked into the room and caught Nibali. Getting back into the bunch or joining the Belgian/Spanish train up front?

the bunch, they're not far behind
 

davis_123

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May 4, 2010
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Cadel to pace Cancellara up the 1st climb to get closer, canc to power up to 90km/h to get them back on.

BMC bond already.
 
Nov 2, 2009
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Francois the Postman said:
Yeah, just caught the helicopter shot. People here still betting on a bunch sprint though?

Not me. I'm hoping the lead group will pull away, with Gilbert FTW. ;)

But as to what will actually happen, I have no idea (as usual!)