Kimmage on Wiggins, Sky

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thehog

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Ferrari command on the English language meant he appealed only to Italians and the Spanish.

Stefano his son became the link man to the Anglo fraternity.

I don't disagree that Ferrari had a certain degree of savoir faire. Those 1980s shades and open neck shirts were a sight to behold.

Cecchini much the same but not as dapper. Scientist, geeky, numbers guy.
 
Aug 13, 2009
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thehog said:
Ferrari command on the English language meant he appealed only to Italians and the Spanish.
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Right...... Italians and Spanish......like Hamilton, Landis, Rodgers, Dekker, Livingston, Evans, Armstrong, Rominger, Merckx, Vino, Hincapie,:rolleyes:
 

thehog

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Race Radio said:
Right...... Italians and Spanish......like Hamilton, Landis, Rodgers, Dekker, Livingston, Evans, Armstrong, Rominger, Merckx, Vino, Hincapie,:rolleyes:

Correct. Which is why I mentioned son Stefano who does speak English & took the heat away from direct contact. Email also came the preferred method of contact along with SMS.

Cool your jets there big man. Not having a ping at you. Just adding colour.
 
Aug 13, 2009
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thehog said:
Correct. Which is why I mentioned son Stefano who does speak English & took the heat away from direct contact. Email also came the preferred method of contact along with SMS.

Cool your jets there big man. Not having a ping at you. Just adding colour.

Stefano was added in 2005 to give plausible deniability, not because of any language or cultural issues. By that time Ferrari had been working with various non-Italian riders for over a decade
 

thehog

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Race Radio said:
Stefano was added in 2005 to give plausible deniability, not because of any language or cultural issues. By that time Ferrari had been working with various non-Italian riders for over a decade

Which is what I said. And Michele doesn't have the command on the English language as well as his son. But seeing it was mostly a numbers game that was occur.

The vampire seduction part comes from his italian nonchalance and preciseness and not because he was phycologically entering the minds of the individuals involved.

Telling a cyclist that if they hit certain "numbers" will mean they are "ready" purely on the basis of an equation was alll the confidence they needed. Did't always work out but it helped eliminate the doubt over "form" for some of them.

If read the italian articles they are much more fun in the way they present him than what the rest of world knows and sees him.
 
Aug 13, 2009
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thehog said:
Which is what I said.

No it isn't

So Ferrari worked with non-Italian riders for a decade the suddenly realized in 2005 he did not speak English well? Really? Stefano's primary job was business manager, then later beard......not translator.

The English speaking guys I have talked to who worked with Ferrari all spoke highly of him. They liked him as a person and some felt bad they were tossing him under the bus. Armstrong saw him as a father figure, a position Ferrari crafted.
 

thehog

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Race Radio said:
No it isn't

So Ferrari worked with non-Italian riders for a decade the suddenly realized in 2005 he did not speak English well? Really? Stefano's primary job was business manager, then later beard......not translator.

The English speaking guys I have talked to who worked with Ferrari all spoke highly of him. The liked him as a person and some felt bad they were tossing him under the bus. Armstrong saw him as a father figure, a position Ferrari crafted.

Which again is what I said. You are a rather contentious chap. I get that you want to "insert" into the topic that your spoke to the English riders but I'm providing the "Italian" perspective along with the fact his English is poor.

Stefano was never a translator. Not sure where I said that? He spoke English. So he spoke and wrote to the riders. Not translate italian.

I don't disagree that many riders hold Ferrari in such high regard. He's a very nice chap by all accounts. A true gentleman. I've not said otherwise.

I kinda think you're just playing here. Which is cool.
 
Jul 27, 2010
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Just went back to Grappe’s analysis, and found this:

His average weight over the two years is 68 kg (in the morning) with less than 900g variations. This shows that the power he develops over two years is relatively stable when expressed in watts per kilogram (W/kg), a very important indication of the performances he has shown.

So when Froome says in the Kimmage interview:

I have always been aware of the weight issue, but I had always taken it for granted that when I pushed my weight I could get it to about 69 (kg) and that was a good place to be. I don’t think I necessarily thought that I could go much lower than that, and apparently I have. I’ve gone a good three kilos lower which is huge.

He has to mean that he got down to 66 kg some time after last year’s TDF, or whenever the last data were given to Grappe. According to Grappe, all his GT performances to date have been at 68 kg., or at best, 67-69 kg. Notice also that if you agree with Grappe that watts/kg should remain stable—a point I made earlier on this thread with respect to V02max/kg—then if he has since Grappe’s analysis reduced his weight to 66 kg, he should have lost some power, too.

But suppose he didn’t? His statements in the interview indicate he was around 70 kg for most of his career. He only got below that after joining Sky:

I lost a lot of weight. I had always raced on Barloworld at about 70/71 (kgs) and I think I got down to about 69 in my first year at Sky.

CF: I’ve done one VO2 test I think in 2007 with the UCI school (in Aigle). The results were online - I think my VO2 was between 80 and 85, and that would have been at about 70 kilos.

If he weighed 70 kg when he tested at 80-85, and he got down to 68 kg without losing any power, then his V02max would have risen to 82-87.5. This is consistent with Grappe's estimate of his V02max, based on his power numbers, as at least 85-90, but it is worth noting that Grappe suggested it might be over 90:

Without going into the details of the model because it would be quite tedious to develop here, I believe that the Froome's PPR is valid for an athlete with a VO2max of between 85 and 90 ml/min/kg. Today, given the nature of his performance, nothing indicates that they can be performed with a greater than 90 ml/min/kg VO2max. [As I pointed out before when discussing this study, what he means--and this is not a translation problem--is that "nothing indicates that they can't be performed with a value less than 90..."] The value of 90 is symbolic because it represents a limit rarely reached in top level cyclists. There are only a few exceptional athletes who possess such a VO2max value. My analysis suggests that Froome may very well have an exceptional VO2max.

Since watts/kg is a function of V02max, lactate threshold and efficiency, this suggests that Froome’s lactate and/or efficiency is extremely high. That is, in the absence of knowing these values, Grappe would most likely make reasonable estimates of them to get an estimate of V02max. If in fact he thinks his V02max > 90, and he overestimated it based on the UCI study, it means he underestimated lactate and/or efficiency.

There is more, though. Grappe’s estimate, again, is based on 68 kg. Froome claims that he is now down to 66 kg, and implies that through this weight loss he has raised his watts/kg even further. If he has, then it throws out one of the main points Grappe was using to prove that Froome’s performance is not suspicious: that his watts/kg values are stable. Also, if he has really maintained power through this weight loss, then this suggests his V02max has increased even further. Based on the UCI results at 70 kg, it would be 85-90 at 66 kg. But since Grappe estimated based on his power values that his V02max might be > 90 at 68 kg, at 66 kg it would be > 93.

Chris laments:

CF: I want to answer these questions. It frustrates me that I’m under so much speculation, so much . . . because all I’ve done is try to be open. I mean, read the book - my weight, my absolute best powers are in the book.

Yes they are, 459 watts at 66 kg is my understanding. That is 6.95 watts/kg, which most people think very unlikely to be achievable without doping. Moreover, unless he increased absolute power while losing weight—which again is something very few people believe is possible—we must assume that he could put out about this much power earlier in his career, when he weighed 70 kg. That is about 6.55 watts/kg, still very suspicious to most people, and yet at a time when he wasn’t achieving very notable results. He says he got down to 69 kg in his first year at Sky, which would put him at 6.65 watts/kg if he maintained power, yet he still had no noticeable results at that time. In fact, based on what he says, and what Grappe says, Froome lost no more than one kg for the Vuelta, which would have a pretty small effect on watts/kg, even assuming he maintained power. Yet his results were night and day different from those earlier in the year.

And if he wants to use the schisto card, remember that his own story says that he wasn’t cured of the disease during the Vuelta. He was diagnosed with it again two months later, and had another treatment. He seems to want to say that the symptoms came and went, which may be possible, yet his performance was never at any time prior to that Vuelta anywhere near as good as it was most of the time following it.
 
Jul 11, 2013
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Merckx index said:
Just went back to Grappe’s analysis, and found this:



So when Froome says in the Kimmage interview:


Snipped

Nice work..

I still wonder about the claim from the interview that they are not interested in VO2 max in his team and that they never tested this with him..

Is it possible to asume that his asthma and other disieces are affecting his VO2 max, and thus his performance since VO2 max if improved provides better acheivement?

If my assumption is correct the why do a team that builds their standards on mariginal gains not do anything regarding investigation/improvement of his VO2.

This does not make any sense for me.. But I only know what I read, I'am not a professional..
 
Sep 29, 2012
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Merckx index said:
--or a rider losing weight and gaining absolute power.

Which is what I asked JV to confirm he meant when he mentioned Thomas Dekker should be able to do exactly the same thing.

Lose 4kg - 2kg of fat, apparently, and 2kg of muscle (like you somehow get to choose), and gain absolute power.
 
Sep 29, 2012
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mrhender said:
Nice work..

I still wonder about the claim from the interview that they are not interested in VO2 max in his team and that they never tested this with him..

Is it possible to asume that his asthma and other disieces are affecting his VO2 max, and thus his performance since VO2 max if improved provides better acheivement?

If my assumption is correct the why do a team that builds their standards on mariginal gains not do anything regarding investigation/improvement of his VO2.

This does not make any sense for me.. But I only know what I read, I'am not a professional..

Specificity counts.

ie you can do 5-8 minute intervals to boost your VO2 max, but that value itself is not as important to a GT rider as their lactic threshold - how much power they can sustain for prolonged periods of time.

A test where someone rides stepped increments in power to exhaustion is going to be more useful.

Or the test Ferrari had Cadel do, where you do a 20-30 minute effort, then go ride for 4 hours at tempo then do the test again.

It mimics a GT stage and gives a better indication of relevant physiological ability.

VO2max is not as useful.
 

thehog

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Yes, excellent sleuth work!

19vwjk.jpg
 
Jul 11, 2013
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Dear Wiggo said:
Specificity counts.

ie you can do 5-8 minute intervals to boost your VO2 max, but that value itself is not as important to a GT rider as their lactic threshold - how much power they can sustain for prolonged periods of time.

A test where someone rides stepped increments in power to exhaustion is going to be more useful.

Or the test Ferrari had Cadel do, where you do a 20-30 minute effort, then go ride for 4 hours at tempo then do the test again.

It mimics a GT stage and gives a better indication of relevant physiological ability.

VO2max is not as useful.

Thanks.. I think I "catch your drift" so to say..

I am clearly under-educated on this..
I saw some test that said that a VO2 max can be increased through training and at the same time showed to enhance performance..
These test where done with runners (marathon i believe) (can find links if needed)

Then my logic just says that cyclists will/should have interest in spite of the bolded in your post..

I understand that i do not know enough of this, however if it has any influence/importance then it would/should be a part of the marginal gains in my world..
 
Sep 29, 2012
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mrhender said:
Thanks.. I think I "catch your drift" so to say..

I am clearly under-educated on this..
I saw some test that said that a VO2 max can be increased through training and at the same time showed to enhance performance..
These test where done with runners (marathon i believe) (can find links if needed)

Then my logic just says that cyclists will/should have interest in spite of the bolded in your post..

I understand that i do not know enough of this, however if it has any influence/importance then it would/should be a part of the marginal gains in my world..

Especially given they have access to all the equipment at Manchester velodrome, can test for pretty much no cost. I could not agree more.
 

thehog

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the sceptic said:
Can ASO suspend Froome? The book and this interview is as good as a positive test for me.

He also can't speak Italian. No Italian would call super freezing cold weather just 'freddo'. He's an idiot. And his book and interview is a positive test. I'll send a copy to WADA so they can begin the suspension process. ASO need to withdraw him from the race because he's going to go super molte *** in this Tour.
 
Jul 27, 2010
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Back then I would normally race at 69 to 70 kilos. These days I ride at 66 kilos.

This confirms it, then. That was the 2009 Giro, when he was still with Barloworld. At one point in the interview with Kimmage he says 70/71 kilos, and Mantovani, as quoted in that interview, threw out 72 kilos, but it seems that his normal racing weight was 70, or even less.

By the way, saying he finished 120th I gather is supposed to make the reader think that his racing was really affected by his weight—perhaps to set us up for believing when he lost weight he got much better—but in fact that was not a mountain stage, and Froome finished in the pack.

bewildered said:
to when does 'these days' refer? when did he sit down with Walsh to write that bit? After Grappe?

I assume so. Again, you have to take Grappe as the authority here. If he says Froome weighed 68 kilos throughout the 2011-2013 period, then Froome either lost the extra weight later, or is simply not telling the truth.

Another thing to add: If he did not increase absolute power while losing weight, and was able to put out 459 watts when he weighed 70 kg, then assuming a 90% lactate threshold, his efficiency would have to be about 24.5%.

How realistic is that? I thought the usual range for efficiency was about 18-23%, e.g., see Coyle et al (1992). However, I found this very interesting study of eleven elite riders:

Several of the present subjects are among the best cyclists in the world, according to the ranking of the International Cycling Union. To ensure that all of them could be really considered as "world-class" riders, they were required to meet the following requirements: 1) have participated in the mean competition's of the professional category (e.g., 3-wk tour races) and 2) have won at least one major professional race (e.g., one or more individual stages and/or final classification of a major 1-wk or 3-wk race (Giro d'ltalia, Tour de France, or Vuelta a Espana), or Top 3 in World Championships).

One of them is later described as a two-time world champion. I will return to this. Also of interest are their blood parameters:

Mean values of hemoglobin and hematocrit averaged 14.7 ± 0.3 g-dL~' (range, 12.8-16.1) and 43.5 ± 0.7% (range, 39.9-46.5) and thus were within normal, physiological limits for endurance athletes (27).

Now what about their gross mechanical efficiencies (GE)? Several of these subjects had GEs higher than 24%, in fact the mean was 24.5% and the highest was 28.1%. The authors claim this is typical of elite riders:

The values of GE obtained in the present study (~ 24%) are similar to those recently reported in professional riders at the power outputs eliciting the lactate threshold (L T) and the respiratory compensation point (RCP) during a ramp test (14), and higher than those previously measured in not highly trained cyclists (average of 20%).

But they also found—as has also been found in endurance runners, and which motivated the study—that there was an inverse correlation between efficiency and V02max/kg. In fact, the highest V02max/kg value of any of these eleven riders was 82.5, and the mean was 72.0. Moreover, only one rider with an efficiency of > 24.0% had a V02max/kg of > than the mean of 72.0, and just barely: 24.1% and 76.1. Using Alex Simmons' power curves, this corresponds to about 5.75 watts/kg.

The authors also say:

The best rider in the present study (e.g., two-time world champion) showed a relatively low VO2max value (slightly below 70 mL-kg~1-min""1) but very high values of both CE and GE (clearly above 90 W -L^-min"1 and 25%, respectively).

This rider had one of the highest efficiencies, at 28.1%, but because his V02max was so low, his watts/kg is estimated at 6.1, still within the range most people think is possible without doping. This is the highest estimated watts/kg value in the group.

FWIW, Coyle's study of Armstrong more or less fits in, with a reported V02max of 85 and a GE of 21.5-23 (Coyle of course controversially claimed GE rose over time). This results in an estimated 5.75 watts/kg, based on 85% LT (Coyle said it was 75-85%). Note, though, that this estimated value is far lower than many of the values estimated from LA's climbs, e.g., Alpe d'Huez.

The authors conclude:

The main finding of our study was that, in professional world-class cyclists, both CE and GE are inversely correlated to VO2max (either expressed in absolute or relative units). It follows that a high CE/GE could compensate for a relatively low VO2max in these athletes.

Who were these elite riders? They aren't named, but there is a hint at the end of the paper:

This study was financed by Asociacion Deportiva Banesto.

This is one of the most interesting and useful studies of riders I've ever seen. I wish there were more studies like this (it was more than ten years ago). What implications does it have for Froome? On the one hand, if GEs as high as 28% are really possible (and probably higher, as only eleven riders were studied), then in theory he could put out his Madone 459 watts with a V02max of just 80. Even the mean GE in this study of 24.5% would require just 90.

OTOH, as the authors emphasize, there is a fairly strong inverse correlation of GE and V02max, so that it would seem highly unlikely that someone with a V02max in the 80s or higher would have such a high GE. Only two riders in this study had a V02max of > 80 (they were the only riders > 77, in fact), and one had a GE of 22% and the other about 21%. At 90% LT, that is only about 5.6 watts/kg.

Is Froome a freak, combining a V02max and GE never before seen? As I pointed out before, if he is, so it seems is Porte, who was reported to trail Froome by only fifteen seconds up the Madone, implying a V02max/kg of 6.85-6.90. To put that in perspective, their power output would beat Pantani's record up Alpe d'Huez by more than a minute, even allowing for the fact that Alpe is a little longer, and therefore there would be some reduction in power.

And to be fair, the Madone is quite a bit shorter than the times usually considered for power curves, perhaps an hour; the watts/kg value would fall significantly over a longer interval. Based on Grappe's report, in which he says Froome loses 60 watts going from 20 min to an hour, 459 watts for a little over 30 minutes would be around 420-430 for one hour. But that still indicates a very high watts/kg value at 66 kg, and keep in mind that 90% LT is very generous (in the sense of lowering the V02max required). With 85% LT, e.g., and 420 watts/66 kg., the efficiency is about 24.5% for a V02max for 90, which still seems to be a considerable outlier.

Ever since Froome released this time and power (though as I pointed out before, the time and power do not seem to match), I've been wondering why he would do this yet refuse to release power data from races, except to Grappe, and even then only post-Vuelta. I'm speculating now that it's because he anticipates being pushed hard by Contador in the TDF, and having to put out extraordinary times up certain climbs to win. By putting out this power value now, he can point out that any time he does in the TDF is completely consistent with what he was doing up the Madone. IOW, an attempt to lessen the shock value.

One final comment. This study was done in Spain. I assume the two time WC referred to was Oscar Freire. He apparently had the highest estimated watts/kg value, yet he's not of course an elite climber. That suggests to me that perhaps all these subjects were guys who won classics or breakaway stages, and not representative of those in the peloton with the very highest power/weight values. Something to keep in mind.
 
Sep 29, 2012
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Merckx index said:
Is Froome a freak, combining a V02max and GE never before seen? As I pointed out before, if he is, so it seems is Porte, who was reported to trail Froome by only fifteen seconds up the Madone, implying a V02max/kg of 6.85-6.90. Would sure like to see more studies like this.

All that aside, it's nice to finally read a definition of world-class that I can not only agree with, but firmly misses Sir Bradley Wiggins in its pool of riders pre-2009.
To ensure that all of them could be really considered as "world-class" riders, they were required to meet the following requirements: 1) have participated in the mean competition's of the professional category (e.g., 3-wk tour races) and 2) have won at least one major professional race (e.g., one or more individual stages and/or final classification of a major 1-wk or 3-wk race (Giro d'ltalia, Tour de France, or Vuelta a Espana), or Top 3 in World Championships).
 
Feb 22, 2014
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Merckx index said:
<snipped, not skipped>
Ever since Froome released this time and power (though as I pointed out before, the time and power do not seem to match), I've been wondering why he would do this yet refuse to release power data from races, except to Grappe, and even then only post-Vuelta. I'm speculating now that it's because he anticipates being pushed hard by Contador in the TDF, and having to put out extraordinary times up certain climbs to win. By putting out this power value now, he can point out that any time he does in the TDF is completely consistent with what he was doing up the Madone. IOW, an attempt to lessen the shock value.

Admirably clear post. Thanks. But is the quality of Froome's weight and power data up to your powers of analysis? Aren't they based on anecdote - how many riders tell the truth about weight - or from writers of 'fiction'?
 
Jul 30, 2009
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Dear Wiggo said:
Or the test Ferrari had Cadel do, where you do a 20-30 minute effort, then go ride for 4 hours at tempo then do the test again.

It mimics a GT stage and gives a better indication of relevant physiological ability.

VO2max is not as useful.

That is a sick test :eek:
 
Oct 16, 2010
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the sceptic said:
Bassons isnt impressed by the new cleans generation.

i think kimmage is in an odd position now.

on the one hand, there'll be not a shadow of a doubt in his mind that froome is a fraud, and he might be wanting to pursue the story critically.
as he tweeted, however, he probably feels genuine gratitude towards froome, after all froome was gentleman enough to sit down with him.
i don't think, for now, kimmage will go after froome personally, even though it's probably itching inside of him.
quoting bassons here seems kimmage's indirect way of summarizing what he thinks of froome et al.
 
Apr 30, 2011
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Dear Wiggo said:
All that aside, it's nice to finally read a definition of world-class that I can not only agree with, but firmly misses Sir Bradley Wiggins in its pool of riders pre-2009.

Wiggins won the prologue of a major one-week stage race (Dauphiné) in 2007. ;)
 

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