Mambo95 said:
Two points, second one first.
You quoted my post but you don't seem to have read it.
Here again is a list of records that lasted over a decade:
200m Pietro Menna (WR lasted 17 years) Michael Johnson (12 years)
400m Lee Evans (20 years)
800m Seb Coe (16 years)
110m Hurdles Colin Jackson (13 years)
400m Hurdles Kevin Young (18 years and counting)
Long Jump Bob Beamon (23 years), Mike Powell (19 years and counting)
Triple Jump Jonathon Edwards (15 years and counting)
High Jump Javier Sotomayor (17 years and counting)
Pole vault Sergei Bubka (16 years and counting)
That's all the sprints and all the jumps, not a handful. There's no frequent and incremental breaking going on there. The only one missing is the 100m, but I think that may now have it's long lasting record holder.
I can hold all those in my hand, but maybe I have bigger hands than you do. You don't seem to realize that this list is a tiny fraction of all Olympic events, even of all T&F events. You also ignore the point that some of these records, like Beamon's, were probably statistical flukes. Again, how many of these record holders consistently performed at a level far beyond that of any of their competitors? What we see in that list is one out of the ordinary performance followed by years of incremental performance as the pack--INCLUDING the original record setter--gradually approach that record. Followed, sometimes, by another statistical fluke, which becomes increasingly likely as the years go on.
The second point. How can he beat all those dopers? Well here's an idea you won't see anywhere else on this forum - maybe the drugs don't work (for men). Or at least maybe they make far less difference than many people believe.
With this statement, you've lost your credibility with me. There is so much evidence that PEDs do work for men that it would be ludicrous for me to cite it. Try Science of Sport, for starters. You might also ask why, if they don't help that much, male athletes risk so much to take them.
After all look, at East Germany. They were more drugged up than any team before or since. In the women's sprints they dominated, won almost everything -the drugs clearly worked. But the men? Well, they didn't really make any impression at all. The drugs didn't seem to help them much.
In the first place, that's not entirely true. Ask cycling track sprinters Mark Gorski and Nelson Vails, who took Olympic Gold and Silver in the Soviet bloc-absent 1984 Olympics--then watched as E. Germans swept them out of the running in the next WC. It was an all E. German semifinals, and Vails didn't even make the quarters.
In the second place, E. German men had to compete for sprinting titles with American men, who came from a far larger population pool and who were probably on the same doping program they were. Having such a small population to work with, the E. German sporting machine carefully allocated its resources, developing athletes they felt had the best chance to win medals. Unlike, say, Jamaica, which concentrates on finding and developing sprinting talent, E. Germany tried to field competitors in a wide variety of individual events. They did this very successfully, but it meant not focussing entirely on sprinting, where they were clearly at a major disadvantage at the outset. Consider other events:
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v389/n6654/full/389911a0.html
[There is a] paradoxical and astonishing decline, since the late 1980s, in best distances achieved each year in all throwing events except the javelin. Thanks to some exhaustive detective work involving analysis of Stasi records3, that decline can now be put down unequivocally to the artificial inflation in standards by the state-promoted use of steroids by East German and other countries' athletes before out-of-competition testing was introduced in 1988. Since then, testing has become tougher and the Berlin Wall has come down. The pigeons are still coming home to roost, however, in the continuing emergence of ill health in the subjects treated with steroids.
It's true the E. German women did relatively better than men in these events, because, surprise, American women generally didn't want to risk the serious health effects that actually befell many E. German women when they were doped without their knowledge or consent. Of course they had a huge competitive advantage.
Back to my original point. I'm not arguing that there aren't exceptional athletes. In fact, I think the envelope constantly gets pushed, because as the world's population increases, the chances of an individual with genetic gifts greater than those ever produced before increase. Another way to put it is that as the population increases, the number of standard deviations beyond the mean of the most exceptional individual (by some criteria) increases.
So I don't deny that there have been and will continue to be clean performances greater than any clean performances of the past. But when everyone else is doping and you're still dominating clean? I have a lot of trouble believing that.