Last time around, Roglic worked with Pogacar as he was behind in time, countryman and he was distancing the other riders. This time around, he will only stick with Pogacar as he is the top favorite, same way he did to Nibali. JV wil send riders on the attack Kuss, SK, Vingegard etc forcing Pogacar to chase if his team is not there. The plan would be for Pogacar to waste energy throughout the TDF . Its the only way to stop any thermo attacks/TTs. Ineos would be wise to send their riders to follow or create the move, work with the other JV riders to create gaps for Pogacar to close. Roglic may even allow Carapaz up the road as long as the gap is recoverable in the TTs same strategy as the Giro 2019 except this time he has a good team. Upto 2nd week this would be the dominant strategy conserving energy and the last week the leaders should take up the attacking themselves. Failure is not an option for both teams but one will fail.
Every leader in Ineos has at least one critical flaw
| Attack/Counter | Crash | Mechanical | Tactics | TT | Crosswind |
Carapaz | ++ | | | ++ | -- | |
G | -- | -- | | -- | ++ | ++ |
Porte | ++ | -- | -- | -- | ++ | -- |
TGH | + | | | | -- | |