Tour de France Tour de France 2024, Stage 4: Pinerolo > Valloire, 139.6 km

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Given the TT on stage 7 would expect Vingegaard to get a fair amount of those seconds back...

then stage 9 might get interesting with Visma being more suited to it.

And guess Pogi might get some seconds on stage 11.

But the big questions now are:

Can Vingegaard be back up near his usual level in 11 days time for stage 14?
Are Visma able to actually help him? Because that was pathetic really.

Jorgenson looked like a Ardennes classic rider and not a GC helper when the going got tough. Certainly not Kuss right now is he?
Pogi will kill jonas at TT
 
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There are 8 riders on a different planet versus the rest of the peloton.

The big question is what their respective form curve is going to be. Things could change quite dramatically in the third week.

UAE did what I expected them to on the Galibier (& I'd have done the same), but Vingegaard isn't out of this. I'd say the others aren't either. It wasn't Grand-Bornand 2021, that's for sure.

The ITT's are going to be very important.
I think many time gaps today are super misleading. There was a section on Galibier where Almeida pushed super hard and brought it down pretty much to the same riders that were still there with 1km to go. Then the pace dropped a bit and everyone still in the group massively benefited from the slipstream while everyone caught behind at that point lost out massively due to riding the rest of the climb in the wind. I don't thing people like Gall finishing 2 minutes behind the rest is a good representation for how strong he was compared to Roglic.

Similarly I don't think Pogacar was way better than Vingegaard today, the descent just massively amplified the gap. Their performance gap on Marie Blanque last year was definitely bigger.
 
I think many time gaps today are super misleading. There was a section on Galibier where Almeida pushed super hard and brought it down pretty much to the same riders that were still there with 1km to go. Then the pace dropped a bit and everyone still in the group massively benefited from the slipstream while everyone caught behind at that point lost out massively due to riding the rest of the climb in the wind. I don't thing people like Gall finishing 2 minutes behind the rest is a good representation for how strong he was compared to Roglic.

Similarly I don't think Pogacar was way better than Vingegaard today, the descent just massively amplified the gap. Their performance gap on Marie Blanque last year was definitely bigger.
I think if it was a MTF Pogacar puts 25s into Vingo. He put about 9s into him in 800m, I think he'd have gone 3km from the finish otherwise.
 
I think many time gaps today are super misleading. There was a section on Galibier where Almeida pushed super hard and brought it down pretty much to the same riders that were still there with 1km to go. Then the pace dropped a bit and everyone still in the group massively benefited from the slipstream while everyone caught behind at that point lost out massively due to riding the rest of the climb in the wind. I don't thing people like Gall finishing 2 minutes behind the rest is a good representation for how strong he was compared to Roglic.

Similarly I don't think Pogacar was way better than Vingegaard today, the descent just massively amplified the gap. Their performance gap on Marie Blanque last year was definitely bigger.
Very much this. As always with big descent finishes.

There will definitely be a lot more fluidity in terms of who's the top 8 strongest riders in the mountain stages to come.
 
What has happened to Simon Yates?

He was always the slightly better brother until they went their seperate ways.

Though last year looked to be back in some level of form.

And this year just seems another BIG step down, pretty consistently from the start of the season.
He has been absent all year for whatever reasons. So not sure why you are surprised about his performance.
 

DJO

Apr 29, 2023
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Given the TT on stage 7 would expect Vingegaard to get a fair amount of those seconds back...

then stage 9 might get interesting with Visma being more suited to it.

And guess Pogi might get some seconds on stage 11.

But the big questions now are:

Can Vingegaard be back up near his usual level in 11 days time for stage 14?
Are Visma able to actually help him? Because that was pathetic really.

Jorgenson looked like a Ardennes classic rider and not a GC helper when the going got tough. Certainly not Kuss right now is he?
Stage 9, the gravel stage. After what we saw Pogacar do at Strade, I'd suggest Visma might be a bit more concerned.