Walkman said:
You are misinterpreting my post.
I never said Nibali was/is afraid but I think he is weighing the pros and cons before deciding which race to target which is the smartest thing to do if you ask me. He raced the Tour in 2009 and was far from competing for the win and hence he avoided the Tour during the two following years and focused on the other GT:s and accomplished some great results.
Then in 2012 he came back to the Tour and did managed to claim a podium spot but was still far from Froome and Wiggins so next year, he once again focused on the Giro and the Vuelta and again did two great results!
Still got most of it wrong. He didn't avoid the Tour for 2 years after 2009 because he was far from competing for the win, he went to the Giro 2010 on very short notice after Pellizotti was "biopassported" a few days before the start. His original program was Tour, like Kreuziger, while the 2 team leaders, Basso and Pellizotti were going to go for the Giro. Pellizotti out=Nibali does the Giro. Until 2010 Nibali didn't have the standing to say what he was going to ride anyway... Di Luca, Pellizotti and Basso the present, they decide what they want, Nibali and Kreuziger the future, build them up slowly.
In 2011 of course Nibali was the clear nr 2 in the team. Nr 1 Basso. And Basso wanted to have another go at the Tour. Nibali Giro-Vuelta again. And even in 2012 he wasn't the clear nr 1 in the team, probably Basso-Nibali at a similar level, Basso Giro, Nibali Tour made sense.
From 2013 on, yes, it's really Nibali who can say what he wants, and he gets his program, before lots of it was decided by the team, or by looking at the co leader.
When he "avoided" the TdF it was the same situation it's going to be with Aru in 2015. Nibali most likely will want the Giro and the Tour. Aru... he probably gets to chose between Giro and Tour as nr 2, possibility to get the nr 1 spot if Nibali for some reason (crash, not in top form since he tries the TdF later, tired from the Giro earlier etc etc.) doesn't deliver.
Walkman said:
So for next year, I am curious to see if he will go to the Giro because, why would he?!
He's Italian.