I'll do my best.
As stated before, I rewatched the whole climb, from Bedoin on, for me that false flat is not part of the actual climb, but hey, lets include it, for the sake of the argument.
The false flat from Bedoin till about 15.5K had crosswind, looking at the flags quite substancial crosswinds. First from the right, a very few times from the left, I noticed one little part with a cross/tailwind. Is that favourable?
Well, compared to no wind not with my experience on the bike, I hate crosswinds, when you cant change lanes you in fact are having headwind.
The forest is done and dusted, there is no wind problem/advantage there, no less power needed there due to
a howling tailwind. Sorry, couldnt resist
The section above the treeline was cross/tail/head, at best it evens out, but that is my interpretation on what I saw. The Irizar SRM could suggests otherwise though, but how reliable is his SRM when he was back in the field how much minutes? The top contenders should release their powerfiles so a pattern can be established, but hey, we know the answer to that question.
So, to go back at the question: a part crosswind, a part tail/crosswind, a part headwind. I am not totally sure, I
think it evens out in the end.
Not sure of the 2 Armstrong record times. Do you mean full EPO 2000 Armstrond vs Pantani and the stage Virenque won?
Well, the 2000 stage had big headwinds above the treeline, on the other hand we know due to the Hamilton book they went gungho from the forest if I remember correctly.
The Virenque win stage was quite simular to this years stage, with a favourable wind the last K's.
So, an equal time in kinda simular conditions to the best known blooddoper since mankind. Yep, I would defend that too.
Not only that, when u compare the climbing conditions with 1994 it is not a surprise those guys had a real tailwind back then.