Armchair cyclist said:
A little competition within a competition: how many points will it take to win this?
There are, if 140 riders finish, 10376 points available. Current leaderboard (guessing that Jancouver's rate of scoring can't be maintained) suggests that on stage points and jersey holder points alone, a haul of c38 points a day is not impossible.
I reckon about 1870 will top the final table...
The ideal team would make more points:
* for example, Basso's 2010 Giro + Rujano's 2011 Giro = ca. 800 + ca. 500 = 1300 for the two big guns (and that's without any leader points, so even 1500 should be possible)
* 3 good GC placings + one or two stage wins or podium placings (from Henao, Intxausti, Tiralongo, Pinotti...) = ~500 - 600 for three medium priced riders
* Goss (or another sprinter): 150 points already, 250 - 300 possible
* 70 points each on average for three cheap pack fillers = ~ 200
Based on these quick calculations, I'd say 2300 would be impressive, but an absolutely great team could even make 2600+. A few teams will definitely make 2000+. I say 2150 will be the value of the winning squad.