Giro d'Italia Il Giro d'Italia 2025: Who will win? Pre-race poll.

[Red Rick]

Hindley has had a very funny career. Never seen as that great of a prospect until he suddenly almost wins the Giro. Opinions are then divided whether that was just due to the weird circumstances of 2020 or him actually being a future GT winner. 2021 happens and everyone agrees on the former just for him to come kinda out of nowhere to win the 2022 edition. People are now saying he is a top 5 GC rider and feel validated when he starts the 2023 Tour incredibly well, just for him to do nothing noteworthy in the almost two years since then. Evidently whenever we think we've figured the guy out he does the exact opposite of what we expect. So perhaps we really shouldn't underestimate him just because of two bad years.

2021 was his only year where he got absolutely no results tbh. Even last year he was on the Tirreno podium and this year he was 5th and 3rd on the MTF.

I think his floor is lower than some others, but his ceiling is at least there where you put him in the conversation to be the best of the rest if things fall his way. And as far as ceiling goes that's more than you can say than for guys like Mas or Landa at this point.

His closest parallel may actually be Kuss, though Kuss never straight up killed everyone like Hindley on Fedaia

 

[GenericBoonenFan]

*** it, I voted Vino @Netserk and if he ain't riding WVA will win this Giro

 

[veganrob]

Who are the Vino votes? @veganrob @GenericBoonenFan @Heston @Mayomaniac @Carrick-On-Seine @Wyndbrook

Gaudu, Storer, Hindley, Ciccone, Pidcock, Arensman, Quintana???

I don't even know. The field is just not exciting enough to care. I want anyone other than...

 

[staubsauger]

2021 was his only year where he got absolutely no results tbh. Even last year he was on the Tirreno podium and this year he was 5th and 3rd on the MTF.

I think his floor is lower than some others, but his ceiling is at least there where you put him in the conversation to be the best of the rest if things fall his way. And as far as ceiling goes that's more than you can say than for guys like Mas or Landa at this point.

His closest parallel may actually be Kuss, though Kuss never straight up killed everyone like Hindley on Fedaia

Didn't Hindley crash at the Tour of the Alps and was sick at the beginning of the year in 2021? Additionally to the whole DSM squad being sub-par compared to 2020 & 2022. When DSM got their act together at the 2021 Vuelta a Espana Hindley was left out of the squad to to politics.

Hindley wasn't that superior at the 2022 Giro d'Italia either. Good, but not extraordinary. He mainly one because the other favorites didn't dare to kill him off on Blockhaus. While Almeida saved his whole race that day out of own interest.

The 2023 Tour de France showed that Hindley simply isn't even close the level of Vingegaard & Pogacar. At least in the Pyrenees. Later on he had health issues again. So I wouldn't see him falling apart in the Alps too representative. Didn't he crash as well?


What happened since is a misery. But the main reason is Bora uses him as a super-domestuque for Roglic rather than sending him to the Giro d'Italia as second fiddle. Which doesn't even make sense. They got others riders like Martinez to do that.

That's the same Bora team that kept riding for an out off shape Pithy or Meeus in the classics though, instead of giving the Van Dijke brothers the chance to at least a place of honor by aggressive riding.

 

[Savant12]

Roglic will stomp his way to victory.

 

[Netserk]

Red Bull KM "Gives extra Wiiings" to the Giro d’Italia | Giro d'Italia 2025

19 of the 21 stages of this year’s edition, will feature a Red Bull KM branded kilometer, which will serve as the “gateway” to the only intermediate sprint

www.giroditalia.it

It's a normal intermediate sprint with 6, 4 and 2 bonus seconds.

• ST1 SAUK -48 km to the finish
• ST3 HIMARE -72
• ST4 OSTUNI -105
• ST5 BERNALDA -51
• ST6 BRUSCIANO -52
• ST7 TAGLIACOZZO CENTRO -13
• ST8 CASTEL SANTA MARIA -20
• ST9 COLLE PINZUTO -14
• ST11 VILLA MINOZZO -24
• ST12 BRESCELLO -33
• ST13 ARCUGNANO -10
• ST14 MANZANO -62
• ST15 ENEGO -33
• ST16 BRENTONICO -10
• ST17 LE PRESE -25
• ST18 SIRTORI -57
• ST19 SAINT-VINCENT -37
• ST20 BERGERIE LE CASETTE -32 (-4.3 km to the GPM Colle delle Finestre)
• ST21 ROMA via di San Gregorio -25

 

[pastronef]

I want Gee to get a Horner spell and rise to huge heights. and look, I know Primoz is a great rider, but I hope someone else wins

 

[Netserk]

The main warm-up races are done. The wildcards have been handed out. We know who the main contenders will be.

Can anyone challenge Gee?

Let's go, Derek! C'mon! You're built for this, man! Let's go buddy! C'mon. You're an animal, Derek, You're a *** monster! C'mon buddy, it's just like riding on Vancouver Island! This ain't ***.

 

[Rockestar_33]

Outside of Kuss getting given the Vuelta just cos of mano and the vibes, Hindley is the only winner outside the big 4 for the last 3 seasons. Ayuso is someone who should be able to match and/or beat him and I feel like Simon at a new team with stronger riders is a good chance, as well as Derek Gee who looks like he'll join the best of the rest conversation.

If Rogla wasn't riding then you'd have Jai as one of the favourites IMO.

 

[pastronef]

Outside of Kuss getting given the Vuelta just cos of mano and the vibes, Hindley is the only winner outside the big 4 for the last 3 seasons. Ayuso is someone who should be able to match and/or beat him and I feel like Simon at a new team with stronger riders is a good chance, as well as Derek Gee who looks like he'll join the best of the rest conversation.

If Rogla wasn't riding then you'd have Jai as one of the favourites IMO.

Roglic is singlehandedly ruining the chances of every rider I cheer for, since years

 

[Izzyeviel]

well, with the new time boni's, there is only one man who can win here. Roglic. Getting those 4 boni's...

 

[CyclistAbi]

Roglic is singlehandedly ruining the chances of every rider I cheer for, since years

Beautiful slogan.

 

[CyclistAbi]

So 19 stages times 6 bonus seconds comes down to roughly 116s advantage for Rogla.

 

[pastronef]

So 19 stages times 6 bonus seconds comes down to roughly 116s advantage for Rogla.

if we were ten years ago and the rider and time bonuses sponsors were British, on here and on twitter people would shout about conflict of interests

 

[pastronef]

Beautiful slogan.

well, just go on procyclingstats and check who came second behind him in his 534 GC wins, stages, one day races. ffs it's baffling for me. Mas, Carapaz, Woods, Jorgenson, Bernal, Uran, 2 Yates, THOMAS, Tao, Alaph, BARTA, Bevin, Costa, Campenaerts, Ciccone, Almedia, Ayuso, O'Connor, Vine... it's something wild, wild. sometimes I hit my head on the wall it's crazy. I cheer against him since, well, 2019 at least. I remember saying to my sister, I just don't want the yellow rider to win. and the wins came, day after day, stage after stage, mini sprint after mini sprint, time bonus after time bonus. ffs

 

[Rockestar_33]

well, just go on procyclingstats and check who came second behind him in his 534 GC wins, stages, one day races. ffs it's baffling for me. Mas, Carapaz, Woods, Jorgenson, Bernal, Uran, 2 Yates, THOMAS, Tao, Alaph, Ciccome, Almedia, Ayuso, O'Connor, Vine... it's something wild, wild. sometimes I hit my head on the wall it's crazy. I cheer against him since, well, 2019 at least. I remember saying to my sister, I just don't want the yellow rider to win. and the wins came, day after day, stage after stage, mini sprint after mini sprint, time bonus after time bonus. ffs

Sounds like a you problem

 

[pastronef]

Sounds like a you problem

it was half joking. Rogla is a great rider. it just happens I never cheered him and dear me he beat every rider I like

 

[Luthor]

well, with the new time boni's, there is only one man who can win here. Roglic. Getting those 4 boni's...

Not sure how relevant is that given the breakaways. Also Roglic was battling hard with Ayuso for those bonis in Catalunya.
Voted Roglic but realistically only because the rest of the field is unproven in 3 weeks at a high level. Ayuso, Carapaz and Yates bros are good rivals but none of them have been a real threat in last tours. I think this Giro could provide a big surprise given the route and the weather which don't favor Roglic at all.

 

[Keldergoat]

Who's Ineos main guy gonna be? Arensman and Bernal is a toss up, definitely eager to see both of them and think that Egon can do great stuff but in terms of GC consistency I'd rather go for the former than the latter.

 

[YavorD]

So 19 stages times 6 bonus seconds comes down to roughly 116s advantage for Rogla.

114*.
These 2 seconds may be crucial.